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回复:【讨论温寒带低压与短期数值预报】2026年10月~27年1月

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GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPED LOW 964 HPA
AT 61N 177E BERING SEA MOVING NE 15 KNOTS.
WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND
200 MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH
SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS.


IP属地:福建129楼2026-10-24 12:23
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    ...STORM WARNING...
    .LOW W OF AREA NEAR 60N177E 966 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. N OF 52N
    BETWEEN 158W AND 165W WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6.5 M.
    ELSEWHERE WITHIN 600 NM NE AND 1080 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO
    35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M. ALSO WITHIN 1320 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS TO 25
    KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
    .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA NEAR 63N177W 982 MB. WITHIN 720
    NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 420 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
    2.5 TO 5 M.
    .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.


    IP属地:福建130楼2026-10-24 12:29
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      2026-11-16 06:49:16
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      GALE WARNING.
      DEVELOPED LOW 968 HPA
      AT 61N 177E BERING SEA MOVING NE 15 KNOTS.
      WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200
      MILES ELSEWHERE.
      EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH
      SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 6 HOURS.


      IP属地:福建131楼2026-10-24 18:05
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        ...GALE WARNING...
        .LOW W OF AREA NEAR 61N178E 970 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. N OF 52N
        BETWEEN 153W AND 165W WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6.5 M.
        ELSEWHERE WITHIN 600 NM NE AND 1140 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO
        30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
        .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA NEAR 65N175W 986 MB. WITHIN 780
        NM SE AND 360 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5
        M.
        .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.


        IP属地:福建132楼2026-10-24 18:06
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          ***Storm Austen***
          #StormAusten has weakened further and will be soon absorbed by Storm Boelo. There will still be some storm-force gusts on the western coast of Denmark and northwestern coast of Germany in the next few hours, but it should not be too disruptive. This is the final warning from OESMC on the system.
          ***Storm Boelo***
          #StormBoelo has rapidly intensified into a Category 3 Extratropical Cyclone and will bring high winds into Scotland and northern parts of Ireland from tonight to tomorrow noontime. The track of the storm has been more southerly than expected, meaning a direct landfall on Great Britain more likely, and hence the probability that the previous October pressure record in the UK being broken also increases. Regardless of its exact path, gusts of 60~70kt will be experienced by most coastal areas of Scotland and Northern Ireland, with highest recorded gusts possibly reaching 85kt. Meanwhile, the windward side of Great Britain will also see rainfall accumulation of around 50mm in the next 24 hours. It is strongly advised that residents in Ireland, UK and all other North Sea countries to follow further instructions from national or local weather services.
          ***
          Near the northwestern coast of Scotland: An area of low pressure will absorb the remenants of Ex-Josephine tomorrow and undergo explosive cyclogenesis through Monday. Impacts from this system will be at an euqal or slightly lower level compared with that of Boelo, with sidespread gusts of 55-70kt and local maxima exceeding 80kt, and it will drop another 50mm of rainfall on the top of what has fallen during Boelo. The system has a 60% chance of being named by the Western Group in the next 0-5 days.
          (下续)


          IP属地:英国来自Android客户端133楼2026-10-24 22:59
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            IP属地:福建134楼2026-10-25 00:33
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              ...GALE WARNING...
              .LOW NW OF AREA 61N180W 976 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. N OF 51N W OF
              165W...AND WITHIN 180 NM NE AND E OF A FRONT EXTENDING FROM
              62N165W TO 59N161W TO 50N162W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M.
              .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NW OF AREA 65N178W 991 MB. WITHIN 420 NM SE
              QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
              .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
              DIMINISHED.


              IP属地:福建135楼2026-10-25 00:34
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                【2026年10月24日北太温气简报】
                ---
                ...10N位于俄罗斯楚科奇半岛近海...
                10N已经减弱为E1,并正在逐渐转向偏北方向移动,目前其位于楚科奇半岛近海,中心附近最大风力40节(20米/秒),中心最低气压976百帕. 预计,它将向北移动,即将登陆楚科奇半岛,此后在北冰洋内分裂一个新中心,以后进入北冰洋.
                ---
                ...蔷琵即将转化为温带风暴......烟花将逐渐加强...
                热带洋面上,今年第30号台风蔷琵在近距离擦过台湾后转向东北方向移动,它即将在明天(10月25日,北京时间,下同)转化为温带风暴. 由于该系统即将转化为温带风暴,后续将对其独立发布警报. 第31号台风烟花已经在超远洋低纬生成,它将先缓慢移动,强度逐渐加强,以后转向西移动,远期在海上转向. 东北太平洋飓风VANCE将缓慢向北移动,强度变化不大.


                IP属地:广东来自Android客户端136楼2026-10-25 02:01
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                  2026-11-16 06:43:16
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                  IP属地:福建137楼2026-10-25 08:50
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                    ...STORM WARNING...
                    .42 HOUR FORECAST LOW 54N173E 979 MB. FROM 49N TO 56N BETWEEN
                    175W AND 173E WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 7 M.
                    .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NW OF AREA 57N174E 968 MB. WITHIN 360 NM E
                    QUADRANT...AND WITHIN 120 NM E OF A FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 55N179E
                    TO 49N179E WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 7 M. ELSEWHERE W OF A
                    LINE FROM 43N180W TO 57N164W TO 61N179W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3
                    TO 5.5 M.


                    IP属地:福建138楼2026-10-25 08:52
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                      ...STORM WARNING...
                      .30 HOUR FORECAST FROM 42N TO 50N E OF 40W AREA OF NW WINDS 35 TO
                      50 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 M...HIGHEST NEAR 41N41W.
                      .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 45N TO 55N E OF 50W AREA OF SW TO W WINDS
                      25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 45N TO 55N W OF
                      50W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF SAINT LAWRENCE AREA OF SW TO W WINDS
                      20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M...HIGHEST NEAR 50W.


                      IP属地:福建139楼2026-10-25 08:54
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                        IP属地:福建140楼2026-10-25 12:17
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                          IP属地:福建141楼2026-10-25 12:21
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                            ...STORM WARNING...
                            .12 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA NEAR 56N170E 980 MB. WITHIN 660
                            NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M.
                            .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA NEAR 61N179E 982 MB. WITHIN 600
                            NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7.5 M. ELSEWHERE
                            WITHIN 600 NM NE AND 720 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS
                            2.5 TO 5 M. ALSO WITHIN 840 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS,
                            TO 3 M.
                            .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.


                            IP属地:福建142楼2026-10-25 13:19
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                              2026-11-16 06:37:16
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                              GALE WARNING.
                              DEVELOPING LOW 982 HPA
                              AT 53N 156E KAMCHATKA MOVING ENE 35 KNOTS.
                              WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND
                              300 MILES ELSEWHERE.
                              EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST
                              SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 12 HOURS.
                              ANOTHER LOW 988 HPA AT 57N 150E
                              MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS.


                              IP属地:福建143楼2026-10-25 13:21
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