SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC OCT 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC OCT 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC OCT 15.
...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 45N170W 1006 MB MOVING NE 25 KT AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING.
FROM 40N TO 45N BETWEEN 166W AND 174W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3
TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 38N TO 46N W OF 166W WINDS TO 25 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N161W 988 MB. WITHIN 90 NM NW AND 120 NM
SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 51N158W 972 MB. WITHIN 120 NM S...N...AND W
QUADRANTS WINDS 45 TO 60 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180
NM OF CENTER...AND WITHIN 180 NM SW OF A LINE FROM 43N161W TO
46N168W WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 36N TO
53N BETWEEN 148W AND 179E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER 54N158W 973 MB
AND SECOND CENTER 54N141W 995 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF
FIRST CENTER...WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE OF SECOND CENTER...AND
FROM 58N TO 60N BETWEEN 150W AND 155W WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 4
TO 6 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 41N TO 60N BETWEEN 130W AND 176W WINDS 25
TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 32N TO 63N BETWEEN 128W
AND 178W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.

【2026年10月13日北太温气简报】
---
...彩云将转向南移动并继续减弱...
彩云今天（10月13日，北京时间，下同）已经在圣劳伦斯岛东北方向近海开始转向，目前其中心附近最大风力35节（18米/秒），中心最低气压995百帕. 预计，它将转向南移动，强度继续减弱，将在明天减弱为温带低压. 受其影响，白令海峡有7-8级大风.
---
...小熊将转化为温带气旋......96W将加强为高强度新台风...
热带洋面上，今年第29号台风小熊正在快速向东北方向移动，将在明天前后转化为温带气旋，以后将向东移动，强度逐渐减弱. 由于该系统即将转化为温带气旋，后续将对其独立发布警报. 热带低压28W的形态很差，不太可能加强为热带风暴. 在它东侧的96W正在稳步发展，将在近期加强为高强度的新台风蔷琵，以后趋向菲律宾以东洋面. 东北太平洋飓风SIMON将逐渐减弱并登陆墨西哥西北部沿海.

***
In the Aegean Sea and its islands: Models have mostly agreed that a cut-off low currently located at the west coast of Greece will cause 200mm or higher rainfall on the island of Euboea through tonight into tomorrow. The HNMS has already issued red rain and thunderstorm warnings for the island, though neither their media nor the FUB has shown any signs of naming the system before tomorrow noontime. The system has a 40% chance of being named by the Eastern Mediterranean Group in the next 0-5 days.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC OCT 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC OCT 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC OCT 15.
...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 47N161W 989 MB MOVING NE 25 KT AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING.
WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 40 TO 55 KT.
SEAS 4.5 TO 7 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 40N TO 49N BETWEEN 155W AND 180W
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5.5 M.
.18 HOUR FORECAST LOW 52N157W 972 MB. WITHIN 120 NM S...NW...AND
W QUADRANTS WINDS 45 TO 60 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 53N157W 968 MB. WITHIN 120 NM W AND NW AND
E QUADRANTS AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 5 TO
8 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM E AND NE...420 NM SE...840 NM
SW...720 NM W AND 300 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 5.5 M.
.42 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST LOW 57N157W 974 MB AND
SECOND NEW LOW 57N143W 989 MB. WITHIN 240 NM E AND NE QUADRANTS
OF SECOND LOW WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST LOW 54N157W 973 MB AND
SECOND LOW 57N151W 982 MB. WITHIN 360 NM W AND SW QUADRANTS OF
FIRST LOW WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 38N
TO 62N BETWEEN 173W AND 130W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC OCT 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC OCT 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC OCT 16.
...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 49N160W 976 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. WITHIN 90 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...AND WITHIN 150 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 45 TO 60 KT.
SEAS 5 TO 7.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...90 NM SE OF
A LINE FROM 48N155W TO 45N156W...AND WITHIN 240 NM SW OF A LINE
FROM 43N165W TO 48N170W WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 6 M.
ELSEWHERE FROM 36N TO 52N BETWEEN 149W AND 180W WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER NEAR 55N158W 971
MB AND SECOND CENTER NEAR 52N142W 998 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SW AND
120 NM NE QUADRANTS OF FIRST CENTER...FROM 58N TO 60N BETWEEN
149W AND 161W...WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT OF SECOND CENTER...AND
WITHIN 90 NM E OF A LINE FROM 50N141W TO 47N142W WINDS 35 TO 45
KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 7 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 720 NM SW AND 560 NM NE
SEMICIRCLES...AND FROM 38N TO 56N BETWEEN 134W AND 143W WINDS 25
TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 33N TO 64N BETWEEN 133W
AND 179W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.
.36 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER NEAR 55N157W 973
MB AND SECOND CENTER NEAR 57N144W 988 MB. WITHIN 90 NM NE AND N
OF A LINE FROM 55N136W TO 58N140W TO 58N144W WINDS 45 TO 55 KT.
SEAS 5 TO 7 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER NEAR 54N156W 975
MB AND SECOND CENTER NEAR 58N152W 979 MB. WITHIN 420 NM SW
QUADRANT OF FIRST CENTER...WITHIN 120 NM N AND NE OF A LINE FROM
58N152W TO 60N147W TO 58N138W TO 51N133W TO 46N137W...FROM 54N TO
61N BETWEEN 164W AND 170W...AND FROM 40N TO 43N BETWEEN 142W AND
158W WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 600 NM W
AND N...1320 NM S...AND 1020 NM E QUADRANTS OF FIRST CENTER WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SESA 2.5 TO 5 M.

STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA
AT 47N 140E JAPAN SEA MOVING NNE 20 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 47N 140E TO 46N 144E 43N 146E.
COLD FRONT FROM 47N 140E TO 44N 142E 41N 141E 38N 139E 36N 138E 34N
136E 31N 134E 29N 132E.
WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND
800 MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 51N 144E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 53N 144E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 80
MILES RADIUS.
ANOTHER LOW 1008 HPA AT 55N 146E
ALMOST STATIONARY.

【2026年10月13日北大温气简报】
---
...03T，06T和07T均已减弱消散......这是有关这些系统的最后警报...
03T已经在10月11日（UTC，下同）中午减弱为温带低压，之后在挪威近海减弱消散；06T在爱尔兰岛近海被05T拉扯退化；07T也同时减弱为温带低压，之后它向东移入俄罗斯境内并减弱消散. 这是有关这些系统的最后警报，它们的后续动向仍将被密切监视，但除非这些系统再度发展为温带风暴，否则不会再对其发布警报.
---
...05T在格陵兰岛东南方向近海回旋......将被ISAIAS吞并...
格陵兰岛东南方向近海的05T于10月11日中午加强为E2，此后持续在原地回旋打转，之后在今天（10月13日）中午减弱为E1，目前其中心附近最大风力45节（23米/秒），中心最低气压972百帕. 预计，它将与快速靠近的ISAIAS发生藤原效应而转向东南方向移动，之后被ISAIAS吞并. 受其影响，格陵兰岛东部沿海有大范围降雪和7-9级大风.
---
...ISAIAS的残余环流发展为温带风暴并加强为一级温带气旋......将极端快速加强为本风季首个五级温带气旋...
飓风ISAIAS在10月10日凌晨登陆美国南部沿海后迅速被NHC降格为后热带气旋，此后转化为温带扰动，10月11日上午它开始转向东北方向移动，并在昨天凌晨前后在美国东部出海，出海后它迅速加强为温带风暴，并在今天中午加强为E1，目前其中心附近最大风力70节（35米/秒），中心最低气压978百帕. 预计，它将向东北方向迅速移动，强度极端快速加强，将在明天连跳4个等级加强为本风季北半球首个E5，之后以近巅峰强度登陆冰岛，登陆出海后强度逐渐减弱. 受其影响，未来24小时冰岛沿海几乎全部有10-11级暴风，冰岛以南稍远的海域有13-14级暴风，英国、爱尔兰西北方向海域有11-12级暴风. 除此之外，冰岛几乎全境将有降雪，其中东南部有大到暴雪，其它区域小到中雪局部大雪.
---
...09T生成并快速北上加强为一级温带气旋......将继续加强为二级温带气旋...
一道此前位于北大西洋中部的低压槽在爱尔兰岛近海加强为温带风暴09T，之后它快速北上加强为E1，目前其中心附近最大风力60节（30米/秒），中心最低气压974百帕. 预计，它将继续北上，强度还将有所加强，以后靠近挪威斯瓦尔巴群岛并逐渐退化. 受其影响，挪威西部近海将有9-11级暴风.
---
西经100度经线以东的五大湖上空（RACHEL的残余环流）：
RACHEL的残余环流已经穿过了西经100度经线，之后快速向东北方向移动，目前其中心附近最大风力30节（15米/秒），中心最低气压1003百帕. 预计，它将继续向东移动，将在明天前后在加拿大纽芬兰岛附近出海，尔后强度快速加强，最强可达E1，以后趋向格陵兰岛以南海域.

STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA
AT 49N 142E JAPAN SEA MOVING NNE 25 KNOTS.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 142E TO 48N 144E 46N 145E.
WARM FRONT FROM 46N 145E TO 44N 148E 41N 150E.
COLD FRONT FROM 46N 145E TO 44N 145E 41N 143E 38N 142E 35N 139E 32N
138E 30N 135E.
WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND
700 MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 18 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 52N 143E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 53N 145E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 80
MILES RADIUS.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC OCT 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC OCT 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC OCT 16.
...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 51N158W 973 MB MOVING N 10 KT. WITHIN 120 NM W
SEMICIRCLE..AND WITHIN 150 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 45 TO 60 KT. SEAS
6 TO 8.5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 47N TO 54N BETWEEN 150W AND 162W...AND
WITHIN 240 NM SW OF A LINE FROM 43N161W TO 47N169W WINDS 30 TO 45
KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 36N TO 53N BETWEEN 148W AND
179E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITHIN FIRST CENTER NEAR 55N158W
973 MB AND SECOND CENTER NEAR 55N143W 992 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NE OF
A LINE FROM 51N139W TO 56N145W...FROM 57N TO 60N BETWEEN 148W AND
161W...AND WITHIN 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF FIRST CENTER WINDS 35
TO 45 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM E AND NE OF A
LINE FROM 40N144W TO 52N140W TO 58N154W...WITHIN 720 NM W AND 420
NM N QUADRANTS...WITHIN 300 NM SW OF A LINE FROM 45N162W TO
40N154W...AND FROM 42N TO 49N BETWEEN 146W AND 151W WINDS 25 TO
35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 33N TO 63N BETWEEN 132W
AND 178W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.30 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER NEAR 55N157W 973
MB AND SECOND CENTER NEAR 57N144W 988 MB. WITHIN 90 NM NE AND N
OF A LINE FROM 55N136W TO 58N140W TO 58N144W WINDS 45 TO 55 KT.
SEAS 5 TO 7 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITHIN MEAN CENTER NEAR 56N153W 984
MB. FROM 50N TO 55N BETWEEN 129W AND 134W...FROM 39N TO 44N
BETWEEN 144W AND 153W...AND WITHIN 480 NM SW OF A LINE FROM
52N150W TO 60N162W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 6 M. ELSEWHERE
S OF 65N BETWEEN A LINE FROM 51N128W TO 30N149W AND A LINE FROM
64N173W TO 55N172W TO 30N164W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.

【2026年10月14日北太温气简报】
---
...彩云减弱为温带低压......这是有关该系统的最后警报...
彩云已经在昨天（10月13日，北京时间，下同）中午前后转向南移动，并再次擦过美国圣劳伦斯岛，之后在今天早上减弱为温带低压，目前其中心附近最大风力35节（18米/秒），中心最低气压1002百帕. 预计，它将继续向东南方向移动，即将被06N吞并. 这是有关该系统的最后警报，它的后续动向仍将被密切监视，但除非该系统再度发展为温带风暴，否则不会再对其发布警报.
---
...温带扰动快速加强为温带气旋06N......将北上靠近美国阿拉斯加沿海...
一个此前连接在诺洛锋面最东侧的温带扰动在脱离诺洛独立后快速向东移动，并于昨天开始快速加强，在昨晚加强为温带风暴06N，今天早上进一步加强为E1，目前其中心附近最大风力60节（30米/秒），中心最低气压976百帕. 预计，它将转向北移动，靠近阿拉斯加近海，强度还将有所加强，不排除加强为E2，之后分裂为两个中心，新中心将在10月17日前后登陆并消散，旧中心则会转向东移动，强度逐渐减弱. 受其影响，未来24小时阿拉斯加以南海域有大范围9-11级暴风，阿拉斯加南部沿海部分地区有中到大雪.
---
...温带风暴07N在鞑靼海峡生成......将北上并快速爆发加强为二级温带气旋...
一个此前位于朝鲜近海的温带扰动在昨晚加强为温带风暴07N，今天早上其中心附近最大风力40节（20米/秒），中心最低气压991百帕. 预计，它将快速向北移动，即将登陆俄罗斯萨哈林岛（库页岛），并在岛上快速加强为E2，以后转向东移动，靠近堪察加半岛，强度逐渐减弱. 受其影响，鄂霍次克海北部和西北部沿岸有10-11级暴风，其它海区有9-10级暴风，除此之外，堪察加半岛西部沿海、鞑靼海峡两岸还有大范围小到中雪局部大雪.
---
...小熊转化为温带气旋......将向东移动并逐渐减弱...
今年第29号台风小熊已经在今天早上转化为一级温带气旋，目前其中心附近最大风力60节（30米/秒），中心最低气压985百帕. 预计，它将向东移动，强度逐渐减弱，即将减弱为温带风暴，未来24小时它对陆地无明显影响.
---
...96W即将加强为第30号台风蔷琵......东北太平洋热带风暴TRUDY生成...
尽管已经来到10月中旬，热带洋面上仍然是一片生机勃勃的景象. 热带扰动96W已经被JMA发布GW，即将成为第30号台风蔷琵，它以后将向西移动，强度快速加强，很可能加强为高强度的台风. 热带低压28W将继续减弱. 东北太平洋飓风SIMON将向西北方向移动，可能登陆或擦过墨西哥西北部沿海，以后强度逐渐减弱. 而在低纬度，热带扰动93E加强为热带风暴TRUDY，它将向西北方向移动，并快速加强为四级飓风，之后进入此前其它飓风制造的冷水坑而开始减弱.

WARNING AND SUMMARY 141200.
WARNING VALID 151200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA
AT 51N 143E SAKHALIN MOVING NNE 15 KNOTS.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 143E TO 49N 148E 47N 150E.
WARM FRONT FROM 47N 150E TO 44N 151E 41N 154E.
COLD FRONT FROM 47N 150E TO 42N 149E 38N 146E 35N 142E 32N 140E 30N
137E.
WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND
500 MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 12 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 53N 143E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 54N 148E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 80
MILES RADIUS.

***
In the Aegean Sea and its islands: An extratropical depression is causing significant impact over the region, with widespread thunderstorms, heavy rain of 100-150mm in the next 24 hours, strong winds potentially reaching 80kts over mountain peaks per ICON forecasts. Red warnings for wind, rain and thunderstorms are all in place today for parts of Greece, but the HNMS has decided not to push foward on assigning it a name. Hence, naming of the system is no longer expected.

WARNING AND SUMMARY 141800.
WARNING VALID 151800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 974 HPA
AT 53N 144E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NNE SLOWLY.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 144E TO 53N 148E 51N 151E 48N 153E.
WARM FRONT FROM 48N 153E TO 44N 155E 41N 157E.
COLD FRONT FROM 48N 153E TO 42N 152E 37N 149E 35N 144E 30N 139E.
WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND
500 MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 6 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 53N 145E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 54N 149E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 80
MILES RADIUS.