***Storm Felicia***
As all of the 4 Northeastern Group countries now has an orange wind warning, it is decided that Cyclone Felicia, named by the FUB, met the criteria of an unofficial windstorm, thus becoming Storm Felicia, the first windstorm of the 2026-27 season. It is currently an extratropical storm but is expected to reach Category 1 status by tomorrow. Storm-force to violent storm-force gusts will be possible across all coastal sections of the Baltic States, and localized gusts may reach hurricane-force. Additionally, counties of Dalarna and Gävleborg, Sweden will see 70-80mm of rainfall in the next 24 hours. It is advised that residents in this region to follow further instructions from local agencies.
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On the western coast of the Balkans: A new Genoa Low may impact the region with high precipitation this weekend, with the 00z GEM run showing Montenegro receiving 300mm of precipitation in one day. Some of the other models also uptrended their forecasts slightly. The system has a 20% chance of being named by the Central Mediterranean Group in the next 0-5 days.
***
Off the North coast of Scotland: A low may move across the Atlantic from the American Coast early next week, with hurricane-force winds south of its center. More recent model runs indicated that the low will be pulled northward by a deeper Iclandic low, hence the strongest winds will most likely miss the Scottish coast, and gusts should not exceed 65kt in most locations. The system has a 10% chance of being named by the Western Group in the next 2-5 days.

As all of the 4 Northeastern Group countries now has an orange wind warning, it is decided that Cyclone Felicia, named by the FUB, met the criteria of an unofficial windstorm, thus becoming Storm Felicia, the first windstorm of the 2026-27 season. It is currently an extratropical storm but is expected to reach Category 1 status by tomorrow. Storm-force to violent storm-force gusts will be possible across all coastal sections of the Baltic States, and localized gusts may reach hurricane-force. Additionally, counties of Dalarna and Gävleborg, Sweden will see 70-80mm of rainfall in the next 24 hours. It is advised that residents in this region to follow further instructions from local agencies.
***
On the western coast of the Balkans: A new Genoa Low may impact the region with high precipitation this weekend, with the 00z GEM run showing Montenegro receiving 300mm of precipitation in one day. Some of the other models also uptrended their forecasts slightly. The system has a 20% chance of being named by the Central Mediterranean Group in the next 0-5 days.
***
Off the North coast of Scotland: A low may move across the Atlantic from the American Coast early next week, with hurricane-force winds south of its center. More recent model runs indicated that the low will be pulled northward by a deeper Iclandic low, hence the strongest winds will most likely miss the Scottish coast, and gusts should not exceed 65kt in most locations. The system has a 10% chance of being named by the Western Group in the next 2-5 days.























