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回复:【讨论温寒带低压与短期数值预报】2026年10月~27年1月

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STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPED LOW 960 HPA
AT 51N 168E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING ENE 10 KNOTS.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 166E TO 56N 172E 55N 180E 51N 174W.
WARM FRONT FROM 51N 174W TO 48N 171W 44N 169W.
COLD FRONT FROM 51N 174W TO 46N 175W 41N 180E 37N 174E 34N 168E.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 168E TO 30N 160E 26N 147E.
WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24
HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 53N 179E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 56N 173W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 80
MILES RADIUS.


IP属地:福建174楼2026-10-29 19:25
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    ...STORM WARNING...
    .COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER W OF AREA 51N168E
    958 MB MOVING NE 25 KT...AND A SECONDARY CENTER
    56N174E 975 MB MOVING SW 15 KT WILL TURN E AFTER
    12 HOURS. FROM 46N TO 60N W OF 170W WINDS 25 TO 40
    KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 40N TO 61W W OF
    167W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.
    .06 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER
    52N173W 965 MB. FROM 50N TO 54N W OF 175W WINDS 35
    TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 M.
    .24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH COMBINED MAIN
    CENTER 56N172W 967 MB...AND A NEW SECONDARY
    CENTER TO FORM NEAR 61N173W 972 MB. FROM 44N TO
    53N W OF 170W WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 M.
    ELSEWHERE FROM 41N TO 57N W OF 164W...AND N OF
    57N W OF 179W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 M. ALSO
    N AND NW OF A LINE FROM 56N156W TO 41N166W TO
    33N180W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M.
    .48 HOUR FORECAST COMBINED LOW 57N163W 978 MB.
    WITHIN 1140 NM S AND SW...AND 660 NM W AND NW
    QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 M.
    ELSEWHERE N OF 38N W OF 151W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
    SEAS 4 TO 8 M.


    IP属地:福建175楼2026-10-29 19:34
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      2026-11-16 07:06:14
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      ...STORM WARNING...
      LOW 55N158W 1012 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. N OF 58N
      BETWEEN 151W AND 153W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5
      TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE N OF 54N BETWEEN 148W AND 154W
      WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
      .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. N OF A LINE FROM
      56N155W TO 60N146W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
      ELSEWHERE N OF 50N BETWEEN 143W AND 156W WINDS
      20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
      .42 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW TO FORM NEAR 60N148W
      990 MB. N OF 49N BETWEEN 140W AND 148W WINDS 35 TO
      50 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 M.
      .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 61N149W 990 MB. N OF 59N
      BETWEEN 140W AND 144W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO
      5 M. ELSEWHERE N OF 47N BETWEEN 135W AND 145W
      WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.


      IP属地:福建176楼2026-10-29 19:36
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        【2026年10月29日北太温气简报】
        ---
        ...混乱低压区整合成为温带气旋15N......将逐渐减弱并靠近美国阿拉斯加...
        一个此前位于日本附近的温带低压在吞并蔷琵的残余环流后在日本附近分裂了多个中心,此后位于千岛群岛附近的西北中心和日本以东的东南中心逐渐合并,东南中心占据了主导,并在今天(10月29日,北京时间,下同)凌晨前后吞并了西北中心,同时由E1强度加强到E3,目前其中心附近最大风力65节(33米/秒),中心最低气压954百帕. 预计,它将先向东北方向移动,明天半夜前后转向东南方向移动,靠近阿拉斯加,强度逐渐减弱.
        ---
        ...烟花继续向西北方向移动......VANCE减弱为热带低压...
        热带洋面上,今年第31号台风烟花仍在向西北方向移动,同时强度相比昨天变化不大,预计它将继续向西北方向移动,强度变化不大,11月1日前后减速并可能转向西移动,远期转向东北方向移动. 东北太平洋的VANCE已经减弱为热带低压,它将向北移动,强度继续减弱.


        IP属地:广东来自Android客户端177楼2026-10-29 19:49
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          北大乡为什么这么久都没有播报?


          IP属地:辽宁来自Android客户端178楼2026-10-29 19:54
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            IP属地:福建179楼2026-10-29 20:10
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              补一张HURCN FORCE


              IP属地:江苏来自Android客户端180楼2026-10-29 22:59
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                ***
                For the third consecutive day, there are no named storms expected in the next 5 days.


                IP属地:英国来自Android客户端181楼2026-10-30 00:37
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                  2026-11-16 07:00:14
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                  STORM WARNING.
                  DEVELOPED LOW 968 HPA
                  AT 53N 173E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING ENE 20 KNOTS.
                  OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 171E TO 57N 174E 58N 180E 56N 174W 54N 171W.
                  WARM FRONT FROM 54N 171W TO 50N 165W 46N 162W.
                  COLD FRONT FROM 54N 171W TO 47N 170W 43N 174W 39N 180E 35N 174E.
                  STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 174E TO 33N 169E 31N 164E 29N 156E 26N
                  149E.
                  WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND
                  700 MILES ELSEWHERE.
                  EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
                  SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
                  FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 55N 177W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
                  MILES RADIUS.
                  FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 56N 170W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 80
                  MILES RADIUS.


                  IP属地:福建182楼2026-10-30 01:27
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                    ...STORM WARNING...
                    .COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER 52N173E 966 MB MOVING NE 30 KT AND
                    SECOND CENTER NW OF AREA 57N173E 974 MB MOVING SW 25 KT. FROM 45N
                    TO 53N BETWEEN 175W AND 172E WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 4.5 TO 9 M.
                    ELSEWHERE FROM 42N TO 61N BETWEEN 163W AND 177E WINDS 25 TO 35
                    KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.
                    .06 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 52N178E 968 MB.
                    FROM 46N TO 54N BETWEEN 174W AND 171E WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 6
                    TO 12 M.
                    .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 57N169W 969 MB. FROM 44N TO 56N BETWEEN
                    166W AND 171E...AND WITHIN 480 NM W AND NW QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO
                    45 KT. SEAS 5.5 TO 11 M. ELSEWHERE N OF A LINE FROM 47N159W TO
                    40N161W TO 32N180W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 7 M.
                    .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 57N161W 981 MB. FROM 44N TO 59N BETWEEN
                    159W AND 174W WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 M. ELSEWHERE FROM
                    36N TO 65N BETWEEN 150W AND 179W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5
                    M.
                    ...STORM WARNING...
                    LOW 56N158W 1010 MB MOVING N 25 KT. N OF 54N BETWEEN 149W AND
                    153W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
                    .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED WITH NEW LOW TO FORM 59N153W 991
                    MB. N OF 51N BETWEEN 142W AND 152W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS TO 4
                    M.
                    .36 HOUR FORECAST LOW 60N148W 990 MB. N OF 58N BETWEEN 140W AND
                    148W WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M.
                    .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 59N144W 994 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NE AND E
                    QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M. ELSEWHERE N OF 46N
                    BETWEEN 135W AND 141W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 4 M.
                    ...GALE WARNING...
                    .36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 36N BETWEEN 164W AND 180W WINDS 25
                    TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
                    .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 35N BETWEEN 161W AND 180W WINDS 25
                    TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M.


                    IP属地:福建183楼2026-10-30 01:33
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                      IP属地:福建184楼2026-10-30 01:48
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                        STORM WARNING.
                        DEVELOPED LOW 968 HPA
                        AT 54N 178E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING ENE 25 KNOTS.
                        OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 177E TO 58N 180E 58N 172W 55N 165W.
                        WARM FRONT FROM 55N 165W TO 52N 161W 48N 158W.
                        COLD FRONT FROM 55N 165W TO 50N 163W 43N 170W 37N 180E 35N 177E.
                        STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 177E TO 31N 166E 28N 155E.
                        WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND
                        700 MILES ELSEWHERE.
                        EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
                        SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
                        FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 56N 173W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
                        MILES RADIUS.
                        FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 56N 167W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 80
                        MILES RADIUS.


                        IP属地:福建185楼2026-10-30 09:04
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                          ...STORM WARNING...
                          .COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER 54N178E 969 MB MOVING NE 25 KT AND
                          SECOND CENTER 59N176W 975 MB MOVING SE 15 KT. FROM 46N TO 54N
                          BETWEEN 173W AND 171E WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 5.5 TO 11 M.
                          ELSEWHERE W OF A LINE FROM 39N180W TO 50N158W TO 60N163W TO
                          62N167W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 7 M.
                          .24 HOUR FORECAST COMBINED LOW 57N167W 972 MB. FROM 45N TO 60N
                          BETWEEN 166W AND 179E WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 M.
                          ELSEWHERE N OF 40N BETWEEN 155W AND 171E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS
                          3 TO 6 M.
                          .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 56N157W 986 MB. FROM 38N TO 61N BETWEEN
                          145W AND 173W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 7 M.
                          ...STORM WARNING...
                          .N OF 58N BETWEEN 149W AND 153W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
                          ELSEWHERE N OF 53N BETWEEN 148W AND 152W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
                          LESS THAN 2.5 M.
                          .24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 59N153W 988 MB. N OF 59N BETWEEN 143W
                          AND 148W WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M. ELSEWHERE N OF 50N
                          BETWEEN 140W AND 149W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 4 M.
                          .30 HOUR FORECAST LOW 60N149W 988 MB. N OF 58N BETWEEN 141W AND
                          148W WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M.
                          .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 59N144W 994 MB. N OF 56N BETWEEN 135W AND
                          141W WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 M. ELSEWHERE N OF 45N BETWEEN
                          133W AND 139W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.


                          IP属地:福建186楼2026-10-30 09:14
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                            GALE WARNING.
                            DEVELOPED LOW 968 HPA
                            AT 55N 177W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING ENE 25 KNOTS.
                            OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 58N 177W TO 60N 169W 59N 164W 56N 159W.
                            WARM FRONT FROM 56N 159W TO 53N 156W 51N 154W 48N 154W.
                            COLD FRONT FROM 56N 159W TO 52N 158W 48N 161W 43N 166W 41N 170W 39N
                            173W 36N 180E.
                            STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 180E TO 34N 177E 33N 172E 31N 165E 30N
                            159E.
                            WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND
                            700 MILES ELSEWHERE.
                            EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
                            SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.


                            IP属地:福建187楼2026-10-30 11:31
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                              2026-11-16 06:54:14
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                              GALE WARNING.
                              DEVELOPED LOW 970 HPA
                              AT 56N 173W BERING SEA MOVING ENE 20 KNOTS.
                              WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND
                              700 MILES ELSEWHERE.
                              EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
                              SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.


                              IP属地:福建188楼2026-10-30 19:50
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