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回复:【讨论旋风】南印度洋旋风SH292025

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Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone Errol 29U at 2:00 pm AWST:
Intensity: category 3, sustained winds near the centre of 155 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 220 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 30 kilometres of 15.2 degrees South, 119.3 degrees East , 440 kilometres northwest of Broome and 470 kilometres west northwest of Cockatoo Island .
Movement: east southeast at 8 kilometres per hour .
Severe Tropical Cyclone Errol has weakened into a category 3 system. It is moving to the east southeast and will continue on this track towards the west Kimberley coast today and on Friday.
Errol is expected to quickly weaken further, decreasing in strength to Category 2 early Friday, then to Category 1 later Friday as it brushes the tip of the Dampier Peninsula. It is forecast to weaken below tropical cyclone strength as it crosses the west Kimberley coast overnight Friday, most likely between Cape Leveque and Cockatoo Island, north of Derby.


IP属地:福建1065楼2025-04-17 14:50
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    上午感觉核心还挺强劲的,下午一看CDO崩了


    IP属地:北京1066楼2025-04-17 14:56
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      2026-03-22 08:18:03
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      错误哥巅峰已过,不要离我们远去啊错误哥不过错误哥的出现真的是为四月的南半球增添了几分色彩,暂时拿下2025全球风王接下来压力给到西太了


      IP属地:湖南来自Android客户端1067楼2025-04-17 15:00
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        29S ERROL 250417 0600 15.2S 119.4E SHEM 105 951


        IP属地:福建1068楼2025-04-17 15:02
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          IP属地:重庆来自Android客户端1069楼2025-04-17 15:58
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            IP属地:福建1070楼2025-04-17 16:01
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              IP属地:北京1071楼2025-04-17 16:45
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                TPXS10 PGTW 170856
                A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29S (ERROL)
                B. 17/0830Z
                C. 15.20S
                D. 120.03E
                E. FIVE/GK2A
                F. T5.0/6.0/W1.5/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS
                G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
                H. REMARKS: 44A/PBO LARGE CDO/ANMTN. IRREGULAR CDO OF 70NM IN
                DIAMETER YIELDS A CF OF 2.0. ADDED 2.5 FOR BF TO YIELD A DT OF
                4.5. MET YIELDS 5.5. PT YIELDS 5.0. DBO PT.
                I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
                PETERSEN


                IP属地:福建1072楼2025-04-17 17:05
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                  2026-03-22 08:12:03
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                  错误哥让我数学考试挂科了


                  IP属地:广东1073楼2025-04-17 17:08
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                    Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone Errol 29U at 5:00 pm AWST:
                    Intensity: category 3, sustained winds near the centre of 130 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 185 kilometres per hour.
                    Location: within 35 kilometres of 15.3 degrees South, 119.6 degrees East , 410 kilometres northwest of Broome and 440 kilometres west northwest of Cockatoo Island .
                    Movement: east southeast at 10 kilometres per hour .
                    Severe Tropical Cyclone Errol has weakened into a category 3 system. It is moving to the east southeast and will continue on this track towards the west Kimberley coast tonight and on Friday.
                    Errol is expected to weaken further to a category 1 cyclone by Friday afternoon as it brushes the tip of the Dampier Peninsula. It is forecast to weaken below tropical cyclone strength as it crosses the west Kimberley coast on Friday evening, most likely between Cape Leveque and Cockatoo Island, north of Derby.


                    IP属地:福建1074楼2025-04-17 17:40
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                      全球热带气旋监测公报
                      预报:黄奕武 签发:董林 2025 年 04 月 17 日 18 时
                      “埃罗尔”强度逐渐减弱
                      时 间: 17日14时(北京时)
                      海 域: 澳大利亚附近海域
                      命 名: “埃罗尔”,ERROL
                      中心位置: 东经119.4度, 南纬15.2度
                      强度等级: 三级强热带气旋
                      最大风力: 14级,43米/秒,相当于我国的强台风级
                      中心气压: 961百帕
                      参考位置: 澳大利亚西澳大利亚州布鲁姆西北方向约429.0公里
                      变化过程: 过去24小时,“埃罗尔”强度先增强后减弱
                      预报结论: “埃罗尔”将以每小时10-15公里的速度向东南方向移动,强度逐渐减弱。

                      图1 卫星红外监测图像(北京时间2025年4月17日14时00分)


                      IP属地:福建1075楼2025-04-17 17:46
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                        火星了,强度多少能薄纱奇多吗


                        IP属地:浙江来自Android客户端1077楼2025-04-17 18:03
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                          能否东山再起?


                          IP属地:广东来自Android客户端1078楼2025-04-17 18:21
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                            IP属地:中国台湾1080楼2025-04-17 18:38
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