CP, 02, 2014101506, , BEST, 0, 139N, 1458W, 60, 994, TS, 34, NEQ, 60, 45, 35, 55, 1011, 220, 20, 75, 0, C, 0, , 0, 0, ANA, D, 12, NEQ, 90, 40, 40, 90,

TXPN26 KNES 151236
TCSCNP
A. 02C (ANA)
B. 15/1200Z
C. 14.4N
D. 146.3W
E. THREE/GOES-W
F. T3.5/4.0/W0.5/12HRS
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...LACK OF TIMELY MICROWAVE DATA HAS RESULTED IN GREATER THAN
NORMAL UNCERTAINTY IN CENTER LOCATION AS SYSTEM IS CHARACTERIZED BY A
CENTRAL COLD COVER LARGELY DEVOID OF BANDING FEATURES THAT MIGHT AID IN
IDENTIFYING THE CENTER. DT OF 3.5 IS BASED ON A SHEAR PATTERN WITH THE
CENTER ESTIMATED TO BE AT LEAST 1/3 DEGREE INTO THE OVERCAST. PT IS 3.5
AND MET IS 3.5 BASED ON SLIGHT DEVELOPMENT OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. FT
IS BASED ON MET BECAUSE UNCERTAINTY IN CENTER LOCATION MAKES THE DT
ESTIMATE SUSPECT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...TURK

CP, 02, 2014101512, , BEST, 0, 142N, 1461W, 60, 994, TS

CCC，另外06z前后的风场只有45kt左右的风速，强度可能有些高估

02C ANA 141015 1200 14.2N 146.1W CPAC 60 994

第一张是凌晨风场，第二张是下午风场，可见没什么变化，发展状况不好，另外附赠ADT逗比分析一张

话说为什么美帝国现在不去实测全日空，多好的机会啊。

一直想不通为什么东太海温比西太差那么多还能老是出扰，而且还能发展的好好的。。

减弱到55节

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 16/0300Z 14.1N 148.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 16/1200Z 14.5N 149.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 17/0000Z 15.3N 151.6W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 17/1200Z 16.1N 153.4W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 18/0000Z 17.2N 155.2W 70 KT 80 MPH
72H 19/0000Z 19.8N 157.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 20/0000Z 21.0N 158.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
120H 21/0000Z 22.5N 160.5W 50 KT 60 MPH
$$ FORECASTER KODAMA

发展状况不如预期，对夏威夷发出Tropical Storm Watch 。现在上望70kt，预计影响夏威夷时风速只有50-60kt

T3.0/3.5/W0.5/24HRS
REMARKS: THE CCC FEATURE NOTED IN PREVIOUS IMAGERY HAS DISAPPEARED. COLD CONVECTION NOW WRAPS .6 ON LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDING A DT=3.5. MET=3.0 BASED ON SLIGHT WEAKENING AND PT=3.0. DBO MET DUE TO UNCLEAR NATURE OF CLOUD FEATURES.

由于减弱致路径较前预期的偏西，不再正面袭击夏威夷，