不知道有没有Ingrid那个条件贴北澳沿岸爆发

31P THIRTYONE 250419 1200 12.7S 140.9E SHEM 30 1000

今天早上，一直没人发

TPPS11 PGTW 191154
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GULF OF CARPENTARIA)
B. 19/1130Z
C. 12.62S
D. 141.01E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T2.0/2.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 47A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. CIRCULARLY DEFINED CLOUD
LINES WITH COLD OVERCAST GREATER THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELD A DT OF
2.0. MET YIELDS 1.5. PT YIELDS 2.0. DBO DT. INTENSITY ESTIMATE MAY
NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE DUE TO PROXIMITY TO LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
MUSE

TXPS26 KNES 191226
TCSWSP
A. 31P (NONAME)
B. 19/1130Z
C. 12.7S
D. 140.8E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T1.5/1.5
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...CIRCULARLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES AND A CENTER LOCATED UNDER
THE LARGE COLD OVERCAST RESULTS IN A DT OF 2.0. THE MET AND PT AGREE. THE
FT IS BASED ON THE CONSTRAINTS THAT LIMIT CHANGES IN THE T NUMBER TO
0.5 OVER 6 HOURS.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...BERTALAN

Details of Tropical Low 30U at 10:00 pm AEST:
Intensity: tropical low, sustained winds near the centre of 45 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 30 kilometres of 12.6 degrees South, 141.0 degrees East , 95 kilometres west of Weipa and 460 kilometres east of Nhulunbuy .
Movement: slow moving .
Tropical Low 30U is currently moving slowly west near the western Cape York Peninsula coast and is forecast to move back across the Gulf of Carpentaria on Sunday and Monday.
There is a moderate chance the that 30U will develop into a tropical cyclone during Sunday or Monday, but it will most likely remain a tropical low. Gales are forecast to develop on the southern side of the system from Sunday afternoon, but they should not affect the western coast of Cape York Peninsula.
30U will pass close to the northeast Top End coast late on Monday, before moving northwest into the Arafura Sea, where it is likely to persist for most of next week.

TPPS11 PGTW 191503
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GULF OF CARPENTARIA)
B. 19/1430Z
C. 12.45S
D. 140.95E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T2.0/2.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .35 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 2.0. MET YIELDS 3.0. PT YIELDS 2.0. DBO DT.
INTENSITY ESTIMATE MAY NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE DUE TO PROXIMITY TO
LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
MUSE