TPPS12 PGTW 080028
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 07/2330Z
C. 26.89S
D. 153.35E
E. THREE/HMWRI9
F. T2.0/2.5/W1.0/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 19A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. TIGHTLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES
LOCATED WITHIN 75NM OF COLD OVERCAST YIELD A DT OF 2.0. MET YIELDS
2.5. PT YIELDS 2.0. DBO DT. INTENSITY ESTIMATE MAY NOT BE
REPRESENTATIVE DUE TO PROXIMITY TO LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
TIMMERMAN

NAME: EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE ALFRED
IDENTIFIER: 22U
DATA AT: 0000 UTC
LATITUDE: 26.9S
LONGITUDE: 153.4E
LOCATION ACCURACY: WITHIN 10NM (20 KM)
MOVEMENT TOWARDS: NORTH NORTHWEST (330 DEG)
SPEED OF MOVEMENT: 3 KNOTS (6 KM/H)
MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE WIND: 30 KNOTS (55 KM/H)
MAXIMUM 3-SECOND WIND GUST: 45 KNOTS (85 KM/H)
CENTRAL PRESSURE: 998 HPA
FORECAST DATA
DATE/TIME : LOCATION : LOC. ACCURACY: MAX WIND : CENTRAL PRESSURE
(UTC) : DEGREES : NM (KM): KNOTS(KM/H): HPA
+06: 08/0600: 26.8S 152.6E: 025 (040): 030 (055): 1000
+12: 08/1200: 26.8S 151.9E: 035 (065): 025 (045): 1003
+18: 08/1800: 27.0S 150.8E: 050 (095): 025 (045): 1004
+24: 09/0000: 27.6S 149.8E: 060 (115): 020 (035): 1007
+36: 09/1200: : : :
+48: 10/0000: : : :
+60: 10/1200: : : :
+72: 11/0000: : : :
+96: 12/0000: : : :
+120: 13/0000: : : :

18P ALFRED 250308 0000 27.0S 153.3E SHEM 35 1000

不知道有没有人觉得这位的生命历程像北冕和卡努的结合体

全球热带气旋监测公报
预报：黄奕武 签发：向纯怡 2025 年 03 月 08 日 10 时
“艾弗雷德” 已穿过澳大利亚摩尔顿岛并减弱低压
时 间：8日08时（北京时）
海 域：澳大利亚附近海域
命 名：“艾弗雷德”，ALFRED
中心位置：南纬26.9度、东经153.4度
强度等级：热带低压
最大风力：7级（15米/秒）
中心气压：998百帕
参考位置：位于澳大利亚昆士兰州布里斯班东北方向约75公里的海面上
变化过程：“艾弗雷德”已于昨天夜间穿过澳大利亚摩尔顿岛，今天上午减弱为低压并变性为温带气旋
预报结论：“艾弗雷德”将以每小时10-15公里的速度向偏西方向移动，强度继续减弱。
风雨影响：受“艾弗雷德”影响，预计8日白天至夜间，澳大利亚东部沿岸海域、昆士兰州东南部、新南威尔士州东北部将有6-7级、阵风8级的旋转风；昆士兰州东南部、新南威尔士州东北部将有大雨到暴雨，局部地区有大暴雨（100-240毫米）。
（这是关于“艾弗雷德”的最后一期监测公报）

图1 卫星可见光监测图像（北京时间2025年03月08日08时00分）

18Z

ACE: 25.2900
今天06Z是它升格的第14天

TPPS12 PGTW 080309
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 08/0230Z
C. 26.92S
D. 153.31E
E. THREE/HMWRI9
F. T1.5/2.0/W1.0/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 19A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. LLCC LOCATED WITHIN 75NM OF
OVERCAST LESS THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELDS A DT OF 1.5. MET YIELDS A
2.0. PT AGREES WITH DT. DBO DT. BROKE CONSTRAINTS OF MORE THAN 0.5
T# CHANGE IN PAST 6 HOURS DUE TO WEAKENING. INTENSITY ESTIMATE MAY
NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE DUE TO PROXIMITY TO LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
PETERSEN

Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred 22U at 1:00 pm AEST:
Intensity: tropical low, sustained winds near the centre of 55 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 20 kilometres of 26.9 degrees South, 153.3 degrees East , 65 kilometres north northeast of Brisbane and 40 kilometres southeast of Maroochydore .
Movement: slow moving .
Heavy rainfall is likely to continue over southeast Queensland and northeast New South Wales during the weekend as Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred crosses the mainland coast later today and moves slowly inland as it dissipates.
Alfred crossed Moreton Island as a category 1 tropical cyclone near midnight last night.
Alfred then weakened below tropical cyclone intensity at 6 am (AEST) Saturday morning.

自评多少

18P ALFRED 250308 0600 27.0S 153.3E SHEM 35 1000

TPPS12 PGTW 080608
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 08/0530Z
C. 27.02S
D. 153.28E
E. THREE/HMWRI9
F. T1.5/2.0/W1.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 19A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. LLCC LOCATED NEAR OVERCAST
LESS THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELDS A DT OF 2.0. MET AGREES WITH DT. PT
YIELDS A 1.5. DBO PT. INTENSITY ESTIMATE MAY NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE
DUE TO PROXIMITY TO LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
PETERSEN

TXPS22 KNES 080603
TCSWSP
A. 18P (ALFRED)
B. 08/0530Z
C. 27.0S
D. 153.4E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T1.0/1.5
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...>2/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 1.0. THE MET IS 1.0 BASED
ON A 24HR RAPID WEAKENING TREND. THE PT IS 1.0. THE FT IS BASED ON THE DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...GATLING

Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred 22U at 4:00 pm AEST:
Intensity: tropical low, sustained winds near the centre of 45 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 20 kilometres of 26.9 degrees South, 153.3 degrees East , 65 kilometres north northeast of Brisbane and 45 kilometres south southeast of Maroochydore .
Movement: slow moving .
Heavy rainfall is likely to continue over southeast Queensland and northeast New South Wales during the weekend as Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred crosses the mainland coast this evening and moves slowly inland as it dissipates.
Alfred crossed Moreton Island as a category 1 tropical cyclone near midnight last night.
Alfred then weakened below tropical cyclone intensity at 6 am (AEST) Saturday morning.