18P ALFRED 250306 0600 27.3S 155.3E SHEM 50 985

全球热带气旋监测公报
预报：渠鸿宇 签发：向纯怡 2025 年 03 月 06 日 18 时
“艾弗雷德”向西偏南方向移动
时 间：6日14时（北京时）
海 域：澳大利亚附近海域
命 名：“艾弗雷德”，ALFRED
中心位置：南纬27.3度、东经155.3度
强度等级：二级热带气旋
最大风力：10级（25米/秒，相当于我国的强热带风暴级）
中心气压：980百帕
参考位置：澳大利亚昆士兰州布里斯班偏东方向约225公里的洋面上
变化过程：过去24小时，“艾弗雷德”强度维持不变
预报结论：“艾弗雷德”将以每小时5-10公里的速度向西偏南方向缓慢移动，强度变化不大。

图1 卫星红外监测图像（北京时间2025年03月06日14时00分）

图2 澳大利亚附近海域二级热带气旋“艾弗雷德”未来48小时路径概率预报图

他还在蒸😨

TPPS12 PGTW 060910
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 06/0830Z
C. 27.14S
D. 155.09E
E. THREE/HMWRI9
F. ST2.5/2.5/D0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 17A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. LLCC >1/2 DEG EQUATORWARD OF
CNVTN YIELDS ST2.5.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
06/0336Z 27.32S 155.93E ATMS
DARLOW

TPPS12 PGTW 061222
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 06/1130Z
C. 27.34S
D. 155.43E
E. THREE/HMWRI9
F. T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 17A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .6 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 3.0. MET YIELDS 2.0. PT YIELDS 2.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
RAE

TXPS22 KNES 061225
TCSWSP
A. 18P (ALFRED)
B. 06/1130Z
C. 27.4S
D. 155.3E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T2.0/2.0
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...SHEAR PATTERN WITH CIRCULARLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES LESS THAN
1.25 DEGREE FROM SMALL COLD OVERCAST YIELDS A DT OF 1.5. MET AND PT =
2.0. THE FT IS BASED ON THE MET DUE TO FLUCTUATING CONVECTION.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...KIBLER

Details of Tropical Cyclone Alfred 22U at 10:00 pm AEST:
Intensity: category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 95 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 130 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 30 kilometres of 27.3 degrees South, 155.5 degrees East , 245 kilometres east of Brisbane and 230 kilometres east northeast of Gold Coast .
Movement: slow moving .
Tropical Cyclone Alfred is slowly moving towards the southeast Queensland coast.
Alfred, a category 2 tropical cyclone, is expected to remain of similar intensity until the centre starts to interact with the coast and islands. The centre of Alfred is expected to cross the coast Friday night or early Saturday morning, most likely between Noosa and Coolangatta.

18P ALFRED 250306 1200 27.3S 155.1E SHEM 50 985

居然还活着

这位又一次熬似了从19到23的五位

TPPS12 PGTW 061456
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 06/1430Z
C. 27.21S
D. 155.06E
E. THREE/HMWRI9
F. T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 17A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .6 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 3.0. MNET YIELDS 2.0. PT YIELDS 2.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
RAE