6

** WTIO22 FMEE 030631 ***
SECURITE
GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 03/03/2017
AT
0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 004/6 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).
GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 03/03/2017 AT 0600 UTC.
PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 6 (ENAWO) 998 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8 S / 57.0 E
(TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND
FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 10 KT
THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER REACHING 300 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE WESTERN
SEMI-CIRCLE AND THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO
50 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS EXTENDING
UP TO 60 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT, UP TO 130 NM IN THE
SOUTH-WESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 150 NM IN THE NORTH-WESTERN
QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.
FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2017/03/03 AT 18 UTC:
13.2 S / 55.9 E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM
24H, VALID 2017/03/04 AT 06 UTC:
13.6 S / 55.7 E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM
OTHER INFORMATIONS:
NIL.=
MFR率先命名Enawo

** WTIO21 FMEE 030631 ***METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNIONBMS MARINE LE 03/03/2017 A 0600 UTC.NUMERO: 004/6 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN)VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT)(LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENTMOYEN).PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)(VALEUR INDICATIVE)AVIS DE COUP DE VENTDEBUT DE VALIDITE: VENDREDI 03/03/2017 A 0600 UTC.PHENOMENE: TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE 6 (ENAWO) 998 HPAPOSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 12.8 S / 57.0 E(DOUZE DEGRES HUIT SUD ET CINQUANTE SEPT DEGRES ZERO EST) A 0600 UTCDEPLACEMENT: OUEST-SUD-OUEST 10 KTZONES MENACEES:TEMPS A GRAINS ATTEIGNANT 300 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLEOUEST ET LE QUADRANT SUD-ESTCOUP DE VENT 35 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE S'ETENDANT JUSQUE 50MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE OUEST.GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE S'ETENDANT JUSQUE 60 MNDANS LE QUADRANT NORD-EST, JUSQUE 130 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-OUESTET JUSQUE 150 MN DANS LE QUADRANT NORD-OUEST.FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS.PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES:A 12H POUR LE 03/03/2017 A 18 UTC:13.2 S / 55.9 E, VENT MAX = 40 KT, TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREEA 24H POUR LE 04/03/2017 A 06 UTC:13.6 S / 55.7 E, VENT MAX = 45 KT, TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREEINDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES :NEANT.=

95S INVEST 170303 0600 12.7S 56.8E SHEM 35 996

这环流未来不会太小啊....至于强度还是观望再说吧...

终于升低压了啊

升格09S

Southern Hemisphere
96S.INVEST
09S.INVEST

09S的第一张图

** WTIO31 FMEE 030702 RRA ***
CMRS / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION
BULLETIN D'ANALYSE ET DE PREVISION CYCLONIQUE (SUD-OUEST OCEAN
INDIEN)
0.A NUMERO DU BULLETIN : 4/6/20162017
1.A TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE 6 (ENAWO)
2.A POSITION A 0600 UTC LE 03/03/2017 :
DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 12.8 S / 57.0 E
(DOUZE DEGRES HUIT SUD ET CINQUANTE SEPT DEGRES ZERO EST)
DEPLACEMENT: OUEST-SUD-OUEST 10 KT
3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK : 2.5/2.5/D 0.5/6 H
4.A PRESSION AU CENTRE : 998 HPA
5.A VENT MAX (MOYEN/10 MN): 35 KT
RAYON DES VENTS MAXIMAUX (RVM) :46 KM
6.A EXTENSION DES VENTS PAR QUADRANTS (KM) :
28 KT NE: 110 SE: 0 SO: 240 NO: 280
34 KT NE: 0 SE: 0 SO: 90 NO: 90
7.A COTE/DIAM PREMIERE ISOBARE FERMEE: 1007 HPA / 1400 KM
8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE DE LA CIRCULATION CYCLONIQUE : MOYENNE
1.B PREVISIONS :
12H: 03/03/2017 18 UTC: 13.2 S / 55.9 E, VENT MAX=040 KT, TEMPETE
TROPICALE MODEREE
24H: 04/03/2017 06 UTC: 13.6 S / 55.7 E, VENT MAX=045 KT, TEMPETE
TROPICALE MODEREE
36H: 04/03/2017 18 UTC: 13.9 S / 55.8 E, VENT MAX=050 KT, FORTE
TEMPETE TROPICALE
48H: 05/03/2017 06 UTC: 14.2 S / 55.5 E, VENT MAX=060 KT, FORTE
TEMPETE TROPICALE
60H: 05/03/2017 18 UTC: 14.7 S / 54.6 E, VENT MAX=070 KT, CYCLONE
TROPICAL
72H: 06/03/2017 06 UTC: 15.0 S / 53.6 E, VENT MAX=080 KT, CYCLONE
TROPICAL
2.B TENDANCE ULTERIEURE:
96H: 07/03/2017 06 UTC: 16.0 S / 51.4 E, VENT MAX=095 KT, CYCLONE
TROPICAL INTENSE
120H: 08/03/2017 06 UTC: 18.4 S / 50.0 E, VENT MAX=100 KT, CYCLONE
TROPICAL INTENSE
2.C COMMENTAIRES :
T=CI=2.5+

FY2G凑合看

SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 001
WTXS31 PGTW 030900
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z --- NEAR 12.7S 56.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.7S 56.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 13.3S 56.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 13.9S 55.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 14.3S 55.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 14.8S 54.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 15.8S 52.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 16.8S 51.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 18.7S 50.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
030900Z POSITION NEAR 12.9S 56.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 445 NM NORTH
OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIU, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 032100Z AND 040900Z.
//
BT
#0001
NNNN

JTWC和MFR首报都相当激情，然而这货目前的发展状况只能说一般，未来两天将是整理结构的关键时期，整理好了C4甚至C5都是有可能的，整理不好参考某货