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回复:【讨论旋风】南印度洋旋风2017-Enawo

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09S ENAWO
As of 18:00 UTC Mar 04, 2017:
13.7°S 56.9°E 65 kt 981 mb


IP属地:浙江来自Android客户端119楼2017-03-05 05:30
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    IP属地:浙江来自Android客户端120楼2017-03-05 06:02
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      2026-01-01 05:54:18
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      IP属地:中国台湾121楼2017-03-05 08:46
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        09S ENAWO 170305 0000 13.9S 56.3E SHEM 70 981


        IP属地:江苏来自Android客户端122楼2017-03-05 09:14
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          IP属地:浙江来自Android客户端123楼2017-03-05 10:07
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            IP属地:山东来自Android客户端124楼2017-03-05 10:08
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              09S ENAWO
              As of 00:00 UTC Mar 05, 2017:
              Location: 13.9°S 56.3°E
              Maximum Winds: 70 kt
              Minimum Central Pressure: 981 mb






              IP属地:福建来自Android客户端125楼2017-03-05 10:21
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                IP属地:广东来自Android客户端127楼2017-03-05 10:23
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                  2026-01-01 05:48:18
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                  TPXS10 PGTW 050036
                  A. HURRICANE 09S (ENAWO)
                  B. 05/0000Z
                  C. 14.15S
                  D. 56.10E
                  E. FIVE/MET8
                  F. T4.0/4.0/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
                  G. IR/EIR
                  H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS 1.1 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
                  YIELDING A DT OF 4.0. MET AND PT AGREE WITH DT YIELDING A 4.0.
                  DBO DT.
                  I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
                  LEMBKE
                  注意hurricane 09S


                  IP属地:上海来自Android客户端129楼2017-03-05 10:52
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                    FY3E IR 5KM


                    IP属地:安徽130楼2017-03-05 11:17
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                      昨天FY3B扫到的09S的海面风速,原谅我不知道怎么投影。。。


                      IP属地:安徽131楼2017-03-05 11:23
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                        最新的北京时间10.30 FY2E IR 5KM VIS 1.25KM


                        IP属地:安徽132楼2017-03-05 11:31
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                          48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 14.8S 52.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
                          jtwc最高110啊


                          IP属地:安徽133楼2017-03-05 11:35
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                            RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
                            TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
                            0.A WARNING NUMBER: 11/6/20162017
                            1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 6 (ENAWO)
                            3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 4.0/4.0/S 0.0/6 H
                            4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 978 HPA
                            5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 55 KT
                            RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) :28 KM
                            1.B FORECASTS:
                            12H: 2017/03/05 12 UTC: 14.1 S / 55.6 E, MAX WIND=070 KT, TROPICAL
                            CYCLONE
                            24H: 2017/03/06 00 UTC: 14.3 S / 54.4 E, MAX WIND=080 KT, TROPICAL
                            CYCLONE
                            36H: 2017/03/06 12 UTC: 14.6 S / 53.0 E, MAX WIND=090 KT, INTENSE
                            TROPICAL CYCLONE
                            48H: 2017/03/07 00 UTC: 15.2 S / 51.5 E, MAX WIND=095 KT, INTENSE
                            TROPICAL CYCLONE
                            60H: 2017/03/07 12 UTC: 15.8 S / 50.2 E, MAX WIND=085 KT, TROPICAL
                            CYCLONE
                            72H: 2017/03/08 00 UTC: 16.8 S / 49.0 E, MAX WIND=045 KT, OVERLAND
                            DEPRESSION
                            DURING THE NIGHT, THE CENTER OF ENAWO HAS REMAINED EMBEDDED WITHIN
                            COLD CLOUD TOP AS THE CLOUD PATTERN GRADUALLY SHIFT TOWARDS A LARGE
                            CURVED BAND. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS UNCHANGED FROM 18Z WITH MOST OF
                            SUBJECTIVE AND OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE (ADT) REMAINS AT THE SAME LEVEL.
                            RARE GOOD QUALITY AVAILABLE FIX TONIGHT SUGGEST THAT THE STORM HAS
                            DRIFT NORTHWARDS YESTERDAY EVENING FOLLOWED BY A SOUTHWARDS DRIFT.
                            OVERALL THE MOTION IS STILL ASSESSED AS QUASI-STAT. ENAWO IS DELAYING
                            ITS WESTWARDS MOTION THAT IS HOWEVER STILL EXPECTED TO TAKE PLACE
                            LATER TODAY. THIS GENERAL WESTWARDS TO WEST SOUTHWESTWARDS MOTION IS
                            DUE TO A MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED OVER SOUTH AFRICA THAT
                            IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY EXTEND SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR THUS BECOMING THE
                            DOMINANT STEERING FLOW.
                            AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, THIS STEERING FLOW IS EXPECTED TO
                            DECAY, INDUCING A GRADUALLY SOUTHWARDS TRACK. WITH THE ONGOING
                            DELAYED OF THE WESTWARDS MOTION, THE TIMING OF LANDFALL OR FINAL
                            APPROACH OF MADAGASCAR HAS BEEN ALSO DELAYED IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH
                            THE VERY LATEST CYCLE FROM GFS AND IFS (18 UTC CYCLE).
                            IF THE SYSTEM DOES NOT SUFFER FROM A LACK OF OCEAN HEAT CONTAIN DUE
                            TO ITS CURRENT VERY SLOW MOTION, ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS SHOULD
                            REMAIN CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION UNTIL THE FINAL APPROACH
                            OF MADAGASCAR.=
                            截取部分MFR的报文,Enawo最近一直在缓慢前行,预计未来西分量将逐渐增大,所处环境亦会改善直至其登陆,所以MFR才会报出巅峰登陆马达的预报...


                            IP属地:上海134楼2017-03-05 11:42
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                              2026-01-01 05:42:18
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                              jtwc撤销昨日09z报


                              IP属地:浙江来自iPad135楼2017-03-05 11:43
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