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回复:【讨论飓风】北大西洋飓风AL102025

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NHC表示已无明确中心,退化成槽,正在等ASCAT做进一步确认
There are strong indications this morning that Jerry may no longer have a well-defined center of circulation. Although there is obvious mid-level rotation in a small area of deep convection, low cloud lines in visible satellite imagery suggest the system may have degenerated into a surface trough of low pressure, which is echoed by global model fields. We will continue advisories at the moment, pending some ASCAT data which should provide some additional clarity on the system's structure. Advisories could be discontinued at any time if new data shows that Jerry has opened up into a trough.


IP属地:福建233楼2025-10-11 23:00
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    IP属地:福建来自Android客户端234楼2025-10-11 23:05
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      2026-04-06 07:48:27
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      IP属地:福建235楼2025-10-11 23:12
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        IP属地:青海来自Android客户端236楼2025-10-11 23:27
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          这位真的颇有2023Philippe的遗风


          IP属地:青海来自Android客户端237楼2025-10-11 23:37
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            IP属地:青海来自Android客户端238楼2025-10-11 23:44
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              IP属地:海南来自Android客户端239楼2025-10-12 00:09
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                IP属地:江苏来自Android客户端240楼2025-10-12 00:17
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                  2026-04-06 07:42:27
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                  10L JERRY 251011 1800 27.0N 63.7W ATL 40 1006


                  IP属地:广东来自Android客户端241楼2025-10-12 04:30
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                    TXNT25 KNES 112003
                    TCSNTL
                    CCA
                    A. 10L (JERRY)
                    B. 11/1800Z
                    C. 27.3N
                    D. 64.0W
                    E. FIVE/GOES-E
                    F. T1.5/2.0
                    G. IR/EIR/VIS
                    H. REMARKS...COR FOR CI. SYSTEM CHARACTERIZED BY LOOSELY-DEFINED
                    CLOUD LINES AND LLCC <1.25 DEG FM LARGE COLD OVC RESULTING IN A DT OF
                    1.5. MID- AND LO-LVL CENTERS NOT CO-LOCATED. LLCC BECMG ELONGATED AFTER
                    SHARPER DEFINITION SVRL HR AGO. MET AND PT=1.5. FT BASED ON MET DUE TO
                    IRREG/PULSING CONVECTION.
                    I. ADDL POSITIONS
                    NIL
                    ...KONON


                    IP属地:广东来自Android客户端242楼2025-10-12 04:31
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                      INIT 11/2100Z 27.6N 63.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
                      12H 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED


                      IP属地:广东来自Android客户端243楼2025-10-12 04:40
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                        IP属地:福建244楼2025-10-12 05:18
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                          IP属地:福建245楼2025-10-12 08:03
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                            TXNT25 KNES 120012
                            TCSNTL
                            A. 10L (JERRY)
                            B. 12/0000Z
                            C. 29.0N
                            D. 63.8W
                            E. FIVE/GOES-E
                            F. TOO WEAK
                            G. IR/EIR/PRXY/VIS
                            H. REMARKS...SYSTEM IS TOO WEAK TO CLASSIFY DUE TO A LACK OF
                            DEFINED LLCC ON VIS. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL BULLETIN UNLESS REDEVELOPMENT
                            OCCURS.
                            I. ADDL POSITIONS
                            NIL
                            ...KONON


                            IP属地:福建246楼2025-10-12 08:19
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                              2026-04-06 07:36:27
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                              全球热带气旋监测公报
                              预报:徐立、刘涛 签发:柳龙生 2025 年 10 月 12 日 10 时
                              “杰里”减弱为热带低压
                              “杰里”于今天(12日)凌晨(北京时)在大西洋减弱为热带低压,中央气象台停止对其监视。
                              (这是关于“杰里”的最后一期监测公报)


                              IP属地:福建247楼2025-10-12 09:42
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