INIT 10/2100Z 21.5N 63.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 11/0600Z 23.4N 63.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 11/1800Z 25.9N 63.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 12/0600Z 28.3N 62.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 12/1800Z 30.3N 62.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 13/0600Z 31.4N 60.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 13/1800Z 31.4N 58.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 14/1800Z 30.1N 52.5W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED

怕是脱不了水了

TXNT25 KNES 110009
TCSNTL
A. 10L (JERRY)
B. 11/0000Z
C. 22.0N
D. 63.7W
E. FIVE/GOES-E
F. T1.5/2.0
G. IR/EIR/PRXY/VIS/SSMIS
H. REMARKS...SYSTEM CHARACTERIZED BY SPIRAL LOOSELY-DEFINED CLOUD LINES
AND LLCC <1.25 DEG FM A LARGE COLD OVC RESULTING IN A DT OF 1.5. LLCC
ELONGATED. CONVECTIVE CLOUD TOPS AS COLD AS -89 C. MET AND PT=1.5. FT
BASED ON MET DUE TO IRREG/PULSING CONVECTION.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
10/2146Z 21.8N 63.6W SSMIS
...KONON

AL, 10, 2025101100, , BEST, 0, 221N, 637W, 45, 1005, TS, 34, NEQ, 150, 130, 0, 0, 1010, 120, 80, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, JERRY, M,

全球热带气旋监测公报
预报：徐润杰、张增海 签发：柳龙生 2025 年 10 月 11 日 10 时
“杰里”向北偏西方向移动
时 间: 11日08时（北京时，下同）
海 域: 北大西洋
命 名: “杰里”，JERRY
中心位置: 北纬22.1度，西经63.7度
强度等级: 热带风暴
最大风力: 9级，23米/秒，相当于我国的热带风暴级
中心气压: 1005百帕
参考位置: 距离北大西洋百慕大群岛南方向约1275公里
变化过程: 过去24小时，“杰里”强度由10级减弱为9级
预报结论: “杰里”将以每小时25公里左右的速度向北偏西方向移动，强度维持

图1 卫星红外监测图像（北京时间2025年10月11日08时00分）

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 11/0300Z 22.7N 63.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 11/1200Z 24.6N 63.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 12/0000Z 27.4N 62.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 12/1200Z 29.6N 62.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 13/0000Z 31.3N 60.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 13/1200Z 32.0N 58.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 14/0000Z 31.4N 56.4W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
96H 15/0000Z 29.8N 51.6W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

AL, 10, 2025101106, , BEST, 0, 235N, 637W, 50, 1004, TS, 34, NEQ, 150, 180, 0, 0, 1010, 120, 90, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, JERRY, M,

TXNT25 KNES 110637
TCSNTL
A. 10L (JERRY)
B. 11/0600Z
C. 24.0N
D. 63.7W
E. FIVE/GOES-E
F. T1.5/1.5
G. IR/EIR/SWIR/PRXY
H. REMARKS...A LOOSELY DEFINED LLCC THAT LIES UNDER A SMALL AREA
OF ACTIVE CONVECTION RESULTS IN A DT OF 1.5. THE MET IS 1.5 BASED ON
A STEADY TREND IN APPARENT INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE PT
IS ALSO 1.5. THE FT IS BASED ON THE MET DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN CENTER
LOCATION. MUCH OF THE UNCERTAINTY IN PRECISE CENTER LOCATION DERIVED
FROM A TROF EXTENDING NORTHWEST FROM THE ESTIMATED CENTER TO ABOUT
25.9N, 66.1W.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...HOSLEY

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 11/0900Z 24.5N 63.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 11/1800Z 26.4N 63.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 12/0600Z 29.0N 62.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 12/1800Z 31.1N 61.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 13/0600Z 33.0N 60.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
60H 13/1800Z 33.2N 58.5W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 14/0600Z 32.5N 56.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED