29S ERROL 250418 0000 16.0S 123.4E SHEM 50 994

TPXS10 PGTW 180549
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29S (ERROL)
B. 18/0530Z
C. 15.61S
D. 124.81E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. DVORAK VALUES UNAVAILABLE DUE TO
LLCC OVER LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
18/0043Z 15.70S 123.75E MMHS
DESSINO

TXXS23 KNES 180613
TCSSIO
A. 29S (ERROL)
B. 18/0530Z
C. 15.9S
D. 123.8E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T3.0/4.0
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...LOOSELY DEFINED CLOUD LINES LOCATED LESS THAN 75NM FROM A
LARGE COLD OVERCAST YIELDS A DT OF 1.5. THE MET IS 3.5 BASED ON A RAPID
WEAKENING TREND OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE PT IS 3.0. THE FT IS BASED
ON THE PT DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT LLCC POSITION.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...COVERDALE

Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Errol 29U at 2:00 pm AWST:
Intensity: tropical low, sustained winds near the centre of 65 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 95 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 45 kilometres of 15.8 degrees South, 124.4 degrees East , 35 kilometres south southwest of Kuri Bay and 185 kilometres north northeast of Derby .
Movement: east southeast at 20 kilometres per hour .
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Errol has weakened below tropical cyclone intensity and is moving east southeast. It crossed the coast just south of Kuri Bay and is expected to move into the inland central Kimberley during Saturday.

29S ERROL 250418 0600 16.1S 124.5E SHEM 40 998

登陆了

在经历了疯狂的两次巅峰后，Eorrol回归了它最初的模样——一坨架在澳洲陆地边缘的毫不起眼的散云，似乎即将就要消散。返璞归真，看山还是山，看水还是水

几天前风起云涌的洋面终归于平静
Errol帮助西澳拿到了准顶超的头牌，了却了今年南半球风季最大的遗憾

TPXS10 PGTW 180715
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29S (ERROL)
B. 18/0531Z
C. 15.79S
D. 123.94E
E. THREE/GK2A
F. T3.0/3.5/W2.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 19A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. DENSE OVERCAST SHEARED 20NM
FROM LLCC YIELDS A DT OF 3.0. MET YIELDS 4.0. PT YIELDS 3.5. DBO
DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
DESSINO

TPXS10 PGTW 180859
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29S (ERROL)
B. 18/0840Z
C. 15.73S
D. 124.16E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T2.5/3.0/W2.5/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. DENSE OVERCAST SHEARED
30NM FROM LLCC YIELDS A DT OF 2.5. MET YIELDS 3.5. PT YIELDS 3.0.
DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
18/0525Z 15.85S 123.78E AMS2
DESSINO

全球热带气旋监测公报
预报：翟丽萍 签发：董林 2025 年 04 月 18 日 18 时
“埃罗尔”已登陆澳大利亚西北部沿岸
时 间: 18日14时（北京时）
海 域: 澳大利亚附近海域
命 名: “埃罗尔”，ERROL
中心位置: 东经124.4度, 南纬15.8度
强度等级: 一级热带气旋
最大风力: 8级，18米/秒，相当于我国的热带风暴级
中心气压: 1000百帕
参考位置: 澳大利亚西澳大利亚州德比东北方向185公里沿岸
变化过程: 过去24小时，“埃罗尔”强度快速减弱
预报结论: “埃罗尔”已于今天下午14时左右登陆库利湾以南沿岸（8级，18米/秒，相当于我国的热带风暴级）， “埃罗尔”将以每小时20公里左右的速度向东南方向移动，强度逐渐减弱。

图1 卫星可见光监测图像（北京时间2025年4月18日14时00分）

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