今晚的风场基本就决定了29s未来的强度上限（两颗星总不能都扫偏了吧）

Details of Tropical Low 29U at 8:00 pm AWST:
Intensity: tropical low, sustained winds near the centre of 55 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 55 kilometres of 13.1 degrees South, 123.9 degrees East , 325 kilometres west northwest of Kalumburu and 275 kilometres north northwest of Kuri Bay .
Movement: west southwest at 19 kilometres per hour .
Tropical Low 29U is located to the northwest of Kalumburu and is moving west southwest and will remain offshore from the Kimberley coast.
During Tuesday it could reach tropical cyclone strength, more likely later in the day, while taking a more westerly track, moving the system further away from the Kimberley coast. Increased rain, wind and wave impacts are expected along the northwest Kimberley coast during today and on Monday.

炸毛还是风切？

TPXS10 PGTW 131451
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29S (NE OF BROWSE ISLAND)
B. 13/1430Z
C. 13.29S
D. 123.90E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T2.0/2.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 71A/PBO XTRP/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .3 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 2.0. MET YIELDS 1.0. PT YIELDS 1.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
13/1012Z 13.08S 124.13E SSMS
MUSE

会赢吗