TPPS12 PGTW 041507
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 04/1430Z
C. 27.92S
D. 158.22E
E. THREE/HMWRI9
F. T2.0/2.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 17A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. TIGHTLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES
LOCATED WITHIN 75NM OF COLD OVERCAST YIELD A DT OF 2.0. MET AND PT
AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
RAE

Details of Tropical Cyclone Alfred 22U at 1:00 am AEST:
Intensity: category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 95 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 130 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 35 kilometres of 28.0 degrees South, 158.2 degrees East , 510 kilometres east of Brisbane and 480 kilometres east of Gold Coast .
Movement: west at 12 kilometres per hour .
Tropical Cyclone Alfred is moving west towards the southeast Queensland coast.
Alfred is a category 2 cyclone and is forecast to maintain this intensity as it approaches the southeast Queensland coast on Thursday. Alfred is expected to cross the coast late Thursday or early Friday morning, most likely between the Sunshine Coast and the Gold Coast.

18P ALFRED 250304 1200 27.8S 158.5E SHEM 60 981

NAME: TROPICAL CYCLONE ALFRED
IDENTIFIER: 22U
DATA AT: 1800 UTC
LATITUDE: 28.1S
LONGITUDE: 157.7E
LOCATION ACCURACY: WITHIN 20NM (35 KM)
MOVEMENT TOWARDS: WEST (270 DEG)
SPEED OF MOVEMENT: 6 KNOTS (11 KM/H)
MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE WIND: 50 KNOTS (95 KM/H)
MAXIMUM 3-SECOND WIND GUST: 70 KNOTS (130 KM/H)
CENTRAL PRESSURE: 981 HPA
FORECAST DATA
DATE/TIME : LOCATION : LOC. ACCURACY: MAX WIND : CENTRAL PRESSURE
(UTC) : DEGREES : NM (KM): KNOTS(KM/H): HPA
+06: 05/0000: 27.9S 157.1E: 030 (060): 050 (095): 981
+12: 05/0600: 27.7S 156.5E: 040 (075): 050 (095): 982
+18: 05/1200: 27.3S 156.0E: 050 (090): 050 (095): 982
+24: 05/1800: 27.2S 155.4E: 045 (080): 055 (100): 980
+36: 06/0600: 27.5S 154.3E: 050 (095): 060 (110): 977
+48: 06/1800: 27.6S 152.8E: 065 (120): 040 (075): 993
+60: 07/0600: 27.4S 151.8E: 075 (145): 025 (045): 1001
+72: 07/1800: 27.8S 150.8E: 095 (180): 025 (045): 1003
+96: 08/1800: : : :
+120: 09/1800: : : :

18P ALFRED 250304 1800 28.1S 157.5E SHEM 55 980

TPPS12 PGTW 041805
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 04/1730Z
C. 28.08S
D. 157.71E
E. FIVE/HMWRI9
F. T2.0/2.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 47A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. TIGHTLY DEFINED CLOUD
LINES WITH OVERCAST LESS THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELD A DT OF 2.0. MET
YIELDS 1.0. PT YIELDS 1.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
SWANSON

TPPS12 PGTW 042100
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 04/2030Z
C. 27.93S
D. 156.67E
E. FIVE/HMWRI9
F. T2.0/2.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. TIGHTLY DEFINED CLOUD
LINES WITH OVERCAST LESS THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELD A DT OF 2.0. MET
YIELDS 1.0. PT YIELDS 1.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
04/1703Z 27.52S 158.15E SSMS
SWANSON

TPPS12 PGTW 042355
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 04/2330Z
C. 27.58S
D. 156.42E
E. FIVE/HMWRI9
F. T2.0/2.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. TIGHTLY DEFINED CLOUD
LINES WITH OVERCAST LESS THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELD A DT OF 2.0. MET
YIELDS 2.0. PT YIELDS 1.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
SWANSON

TXPS22 KNES 042354
TCSWSP
A. 18P (ALFRED)
B. 04/2330Z
C. 27.6S
D. 156.4E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T2.5/2.5
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...4/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 2.5. SYSTEM HAS TRANSITIONED
BACK TO TROPICAL WITH SOLID CONVECTIVE BANDING W AND SW OF VERY STRONG
LLCC. MET AND PT N/A. FT BASED ON DT. SYSTEM LIKELY STRONGER THAN FT
INDICATES.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...KONON

Details of Tropical Cyclone Alfred 22U at 10:00 am AEST:
Intensity: category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 95 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 130 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 30 kilometres of 27.6 degrees South, 156.5 degrees East , 345 kilometres east of Brisbane and 315 kilometres east of Gold Coast .
Movement: west at 16 kilometres per hour .
Tropical Cyclone Alfred is moving towards the southeast Queensland coast.
Alfred is a category 2 cyclone, and is forecast to maintain this intensity as it approaches the southeast Queensland coast on Thursday. Alfred is expected to cross the coast early Friday morning, most likely between Maroochydore and Coolangatta.

18P ALFRED 250305 0000 27.6S 156.4E SHEM 55 980