EC继续不支持，可能跟未来的帕布是小环流有关。EC对小环流系统相当不敏感。例如17年的榕树

99C INVEST 181211 0600 5.4N 172.4E CPAC 20 1005

怎么又这样？！

果然是到淡季了，99C作为西太上独苗的扰动人气都这么冷

99C甩出了帅气的飑线

还是散乱啊
感觉最近没有很大改善额

GFS新报开始不支持成台额，并且副高异常庞大

(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99C) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 5.0N 174.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.0N 172.0E, APPROXIMATELY 385
NM SOUTHEAST OF KWAJALEIN. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A
110941Z 89GHZ METOP-A MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT HIGHLY DISORGANIZED
DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS IS FAVORABLE WITH LOW (5-15
KNOTS) VWS AND POLEWARD DIFFLUENCE. SSTS REMAIN VERY FAVORABLE (30-
32C) IN THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE BACKED OFF ON THE
DEVELOPMENT OF INVEST 99C, HOWEVER, NAVGEM AND GFS INDICATE THE
TROPICAL WAVE TO THE NORTH MAY GRADUALLY DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED
TO LOW.

99C分裂出了94W？？？

(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99C) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 4N 171E, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

99C大变身？换心成94W？

99C INVEST 181212 0000 4.3N 170.8E CPAC 10 1008

3级风扰动

JMA撤LPA