ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Jun 3 2018
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is centered
a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico.
Environmental conditions are forecast to support development of this
system during the next several days, and a tropical depression is
expected to form on Wednesday or Thursday while it moves slowly
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Forecaster Cangialosi

GFS新报（6月4日00z）报出东太大飓风，巅峰922

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sun Jun 3 2018
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the
southern coast of Mexico continues to produce a large area of
disorganized cloudiness and showers. Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for development of this system, and a
tropical depression is likely to form within the next two to
three days while it moves slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Forecaster Brown

91W背后又来了

EC报的中间那个会在琉球以东生成
GFS报的中间那个会在巴士海峡生成

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Jun 4 2018
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. A trough of low pressure located about 500 hundred miles south of
the southern coast of Mexico continues to produce a large area of
disorganized cloudiness and showers. Environmental conditions are
conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression
is likely to form within the next two to three days while it moves
slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Forecaster Cangialosi

稍早的图，副高基本牢牢控制着北部，这波活动过后应该还有一波南伸，夏季就会趋于稳定

由于mjo未来会停在4-5区且强度减弱，6月余下时间并不乐观。说到底还是这轮扰动太婊

GFS新报（6月4日12z）