螺旋性明显

0710Z

SH, 90, 2017012506, , BEST, 0, 158S, 1274E, 20, 1002, DB

SH90: INVEST (25kts)

回波感人

澳大利亚西北部要下好久的雨啊

今天美军不知怎么了，NRL坏了，报文卡在18Z就不更新了，另外decks也坏了，所以呢没路径。那么就用GTCT的图代替一下吧

爆了大坨对流

THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 15.6S 127.2E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.8S 126.8E, APPROXIMATELY
290 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 251338Z MHS METOP-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE PASS
DEPICT DEEP FLARING CONVECTION AND FORMATIVE BANDING BEGINNING TO
CONSOLIDATE ABOUT THE BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION, EVIDENT IN THE
512KM WYNDHAM COMPOSITE RADAR LOOP. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES
MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW WITH LOW TO MODERATE (10-20 KNOT)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ALTHOUGH THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION REMAINS OVER
LAND, GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE SHOW A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER
NORTHWESTERN AUSTRALIA BEFORE EXITING OVER WARM WATERS (29C) WITHIN
6 TO 12 HOURS, WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED
STRUCTURE AND FAVORABLE SSTS, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
MEDIUM.

这货还是去世比较好，1月全球即将史无前例淋ACE，这种没有潜力的婊货还是不要生成为好

SH, 90, 2017012600, , BEST, 0, 165S, 1253E, 25, 1004, TD,

下调上望奥氏C1 18Z上望C2

海上部分对流旺盛，陆地少