80kt
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 49N35W 959 MB MOVING NE 30 KT. WITHIN 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 60 TO 80 KT. SEAS 5 TO 11 M...HIGHEST BETWEEN 120 NM AND
180 NM S QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW QUADRANT AND 360 NM
S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 40 TO 60 KT. SEAS 6 TO 12 M...HIGHEST NEAR
45N40W...EXCEPT IN NW QUADRANT SEAS 2.5 TO 6 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
480 NM NW QUADRANT AND 660 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 40 KT.
SEAS 4 TO 10 M...HIGHEST WITHIN 360 NM SW QUADRANT OF
LOW...EXCEPT SEAS 2.5 TO 5.5 M IN NW QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
AN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 31N35W TO 31N79W TO 40N71W TO
47N53W TO 54N53W TO 54N35W TO 31N35W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO
8 M...HIGHEST WITHIN 780 NM SW QUADRANT OF LOW.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW WELL E OF AREA 55N24W 956 MB. FROM 49N TO
56N BETWEEN 38W AND 35W WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 45N35W TO 45N40W
TO 59N47W TO 59N35W TO 45N35W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 31N35W TO 31N56W
TO 47N47W TO 60N59W TO 60N35W TO 31N35W WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 5.5 M...HIGHEST FROM 43N TO 45N BETWEEN 36W AND 35W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW WELL E OF AREA. FROM 55N TO 60N BETWEEN 37W
AND 35W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AN
AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 44N35W TO 49N45W TO 62N53W TO 66N35W
TO 44N35W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
AN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 31N35W TO 31N43W TO 44N40W TO
49N45W TO 44N35W TO 31N35W WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.

很不错的形态，期待温气巔峰

留名
致Erin——以及我心中的琳

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW JUST E OF AREA NEAR 51N32W 954 MB MOVING NE 30 KT. WITHIN
240 NM S AND 180 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 60 TO 80 KT. SEAS 7 TO 13
M...HIGHEST S QUADRANT. ALSO W OF 35W WITHIN 300 NM S AND SW
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 45 TO 60 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 10 M...HIGHEST SW OF
LOW NEAR 46N35W. ELSEWHERE FROM 43N TO 54N BETWEEN 35W AND 42W
WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 9 M...HIGHEST NEAR 44N37W.
ELSEWHERE E OF A LINE FROM 57N55W TO 45N48W TO 38N40W WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 7.5 M...HIGHEST SW OF LOW.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW WELL E OF AREA 56N22W 960 MB. FROM 49N TO
57N BETWEEN 35W AND 37W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5.5 M. ALSO
WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 44N35W TO 50N40W TO 59N52W
TO 64N35W TO 44N35W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M...HIGHEST
NEAR 46N35W. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM
31N35W TO 31N49W TO 44N42W TO 44N35W TO 31N35W WINDS LESS THAN
25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M IN MIXED SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR 44N35W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW WELL E OF AREA. FROM 55N TO 60N BETWEEN
35W AND 37W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE E OF A
LINE FROM 65N35W TO 59ON49W TO 43N40W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4 M.

12z前后的风场，注意到C星在1130z的风场扫描支持75kt及更高，12z的强度大概在75kt左右，06z的风速也可以合理上推到80-85kt

巅峰形态下的云图，从上至下分别为UTC 12z 14z 16z

@🌀北冕CCC🌀 我这里看到的扫描上出现了一个疑似85kt的旗子（虽然在周边的70-75kt中格格不入，但也许不排除是特殊结构引发的小范围极端高风速区域），是否可以作为12z风速及巅峰应该进一步上提至稳85的证据？

减弱

美炸

没人发更高清的极轨卫星拍的？

一颠和二颠后的风切影响期间强度nhc高估不少，自评一颠后掉到C2，二颠后掉到C1，这样算来ace是否未能达到30？