PMM转暖的利器之一

MJO现在在哪个洋区

缤纷多彩

12z，ec-aifs没有明显系统

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. South of the Southern Coast of Mexico:
An area of low pressure is expected to form early next week several
hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Conditions
appear favorable for development of this system, and a tropical
depression is likely to form around the middle of next week while
moving westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Forecaster Hagen

GFS12z南海，第一个饼是破产版摩羯巅峰972登海南广东，之后进入北部湾登越南，第二个饼巅峰983不封顶

西南季风即将爆发。南海有机会。

还是老样子

6月初南海脱水台。

摩羯青春版

广东西部近岸超台，有点太夸张。

ec-aifs仅支持低压水平