画了一下，微波极其抽象，不知道后面怎么发展（）

adt去世了

两个小时对比，位置几乎没动

结构没理好就速爆很容易有这种速置的问题（
05z 130-135（？不太确定怎么给

FKAU03 ADRM 160641
TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20250416/0600Z
TCAC: DARWIN
TC: ERROL
ADVISORY NR: 2025/13
OBS PSN: 16/0600Z S1406 E11912
CB: WI 120NM OF SYSTEM CENTRE TOP FL600
MOV: WSW 05KT
INTST CHANGE: INTSF
C: 966HPA
MAX WIND: 80KT
FCST PSN +6HR: 16/1200 S1412 E11848
FCST MAX WIND +6HR: 90KT
FCST PSN +12HR: 16/1800 S1418 E11836
FCST MAX WIND +12HR: 100KT
FCST PSN +18HR: 17/0000 S1430 E11836
FCST MAX WIND +18HR: 100KT
FCST PSN +24HR: 17/0600 S1442 E11848
FCST MAX WIND +24HR: 90KT
RMK: NIL
NXT MSG: 20250416/1300Z

高层开始反应

最好的发展就是高层扩眼，底层内外眼融合在一起

Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone Errol 29U at 2:00 pm AWST:
Intensity: category 3, sustained winds near the centre of 150 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 205 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 30 kilometres of 14.1 degrees South, 119.2 degrees East , 540 kilometres northwest of Broome and 590 kilometres west northwest of Kuri Bay .
Movement: west southwest at 10 kilometres per hour .
Severe Tropical Cyclone Errol has continued to intensify during the day. It is a severe category 3 tropical cyclone.
Errol is currently moving west, but is expected to turn to the southeast tonight, and begin moving towards the west Kimberley coast during Thursday.
Errol may intensify to a category 4 cyclone tonight, before beginning to weaken from Thursday afternoon. It is expected to weaken to a category 1 cyclone or even below tropical cyclone strength as it nears the west Kimberley coast on Saturday. Despite the weakening, gales may develop along exposed parts of the coast from late Friday and into Saturday morning.

也有可能后续是把这个假外眼甩雨带甩出去，bd上甩对流

打得过Usagi吗，感觉现在还差一点？

置换痕迹？

虽然现在流出不错，海温也很高，但正常换时间还是不够。内眼现在看形状很怪异，也许要正常置换了。