布拉万：百分之百miss卫星扫描

15z

有待觀察

小眼

JTWC 15Z分析维持T3.5
TPPN11 PGTW 091552 COR
A. TROPICAL STORM 15W (BOLAVEN)
B. 09/1441Z
C. 12.66N
D. 148.14E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T3.5/3.5/D0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .90 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 3.5. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
PETERSEN

CDO趋于成熟

TPPN11 PGTW 091826
A. TROPICAL STORM 15W (BOLAVEN)
B. 09/1730Z
C. 12.81N
D. 147.48E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T4.0/4.0/D1.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS 1.1 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 4.0. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
RAE

15W BOLAVEN 231009 1800 13.0N 147.5E WPAC 60 990
升60

似乎已出现开眼迹象

cma脱水
ZCZC
TCPQ40 BABJ 091800
CCAA 09180 99398 11165
BOLAVEN 15124 11478 11334 240// 93006
NNNN
ZCZC
WTPQ20 BABJ 091800
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TY BOLAVEN 2315 (2315) INITIAL TIME 091800 UTC
00HR 12.4N 147.8E 975HPA 33M/S
30KTS WINDS 200KM NORTHEAST
150KM SOUTHEAST
150KM SOUTHWEST
200KM NORTHWEST
50KTS WINDS 50KM NORTHEAST
20KM SOUTHEAST
20KM SOUTHWEST
50KM NORTHWEST
MOVE NW 24KM/H
P+12HR 14.0N 145.8E 950HPA 45M/S
P+24HR 15.8N 144.3E 940HPA 50M/S
P+36HR 17.8N 142.8E 935HPA 52M/S
P+48HR 19.6N 142.1E 930HPA 55M/S
P+60HR 21.0N 142.4E 930HPA 55M/S
P+72HR 22.6N 143.5E 935HPA 52M/S
P+96HR 26.4N 147.0E 940HPA 50M/S
P+120HR 32.2N 153.6E 955HPA 40M/S=
NNNN