THERE IS SUBSTANTIAL
SPREAD IN THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE BETWEEN CHIPS AT THE EXTREME HIGH
END, COAMPS-GFS, COAMPS-NAVGEM, AND COAMPS-HWRF BELOW THE INTENSITY
CONSENSUS WHICH IS BEING PULLED UPWARDS BY CHIPS, AND STATISTICAL-
DYNAMICAL MODEL GUIDANCE, WHICH IS WELL BELOW EVEN THE GPCE CURVE.
THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC INTENSITY FORECAST, WHICH IS
WELL BELOW THE MULTI-MODEL INTENSITY CONSENSUS, CLOSE TO THE
MESOSCALE MODELS.

SPREAD IN THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE BETWEEN CHIPS AT THE EXTREME HIGH
END, COAMPS-GFS, COAMPS-NAVGEM, AND COAMPS-HWRF BELOW THE INTENSITY
CONSENSUS WHICH IS BEING PULLED UPWARDS BY CHIPS, AND STATISTICAL-
DYNAMICAL MODEL GUIDANCE, WHICH IS WELL BELOW EVEN THE GPCE CURVE.
THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC INTENSITY FORECAST, WHICH IS
WELL BELOW THE MULTI-MODEL INTENSITY CONSENSUS, CLOSE TO THE
MESOSCALE MODELS.



GEM大胜利


















