FKIO20 FMEE 061210
TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20190206/1210Z
TCAC: REUNION
TC: GELENA
ADVISORY NR: 2019/02
OBS PSN: 06/1200Z S1221 E05327
CB: WI 200NM OF TC CENTRE TOP FL540
MOV: SE 02KT
C: 990HPA
MAX WIND: 55KT
FCST PSN +6 HR: 06/1800Z S1229 E05330
FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 60KT
FCST PSN +12 HR: 07/0000Z S1238 E05333
FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 65KT
FCST PSN +18 HR: 07/0600Z S1249 E05338
FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 70KT
FCST PSN +24 HR: 07/1200Z S1311 E05349
FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: 75KT
RMK: NIL
NXT MSG: 20190206/1800Z=

底层眼完成，高层已有反应，Gelena也已启动爆发程序

13S GELENA 190206 1200 12.3S 53.4E SHEM 40 993

JTWC脑子有问题，眼都开了还T3.0 40kts
SH, 13, 2019020612, , BEST, 0, 123S, 534E, 40, 993, TS, 34, NEQ, 60, 55, 80, 65, 1009, 170, 20, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, THIRTEEN, ,

55kt.990hPa

主要问题是06Z已经给40kts了，JTWC直接无视了Gelena一下午的成果

神奇的定强
12S
JTWC:65KT
MFR:50KT
13S
JTWC:40KT
MFR:55KT

JTWC：好好好我给你升个5kt
13S GELENA 190206 1200 12.3S 53.4E SHEM 45 989

南印活炸

底层眼巩固中

基本卷好了

2019FEB06 144500 3.6 994.8 57.0 3.6 4.0 5.2 0.5T/hour OFF OFF OFF OFF -23.37 -61.88 EYE

TPXS11 PGTW 061518
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (GELENA)
B. 06/1445Z
C. 12.31S
D. 53.20E
E. THREE/HMWRI8
F. T3.5/3.5/D1.5/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 13A/PBO TIGHTLY CURVED BNDG/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .80
ON LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDING A DT OF 3.5. MET AND PT YIELDS A 3.5.
DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
06/1017Z 12.20S 53.42E AMS2
06/1208Z 12.32S 53.27E SSMS
BERMEA