到底有没有戏呀，会不会给福建带来降水

26-30日，我国东部海域及华东沿海地区将先后出现较强风雨天气

中心爆了一坨对流

会经过福建吗

GFS支持成旋

热带扰动92W接下来几天将在西南季风的推动下缓慢向东北方向移动，今天（22日）夜里到明天早晨，它的中心将登陆在台湾高雄到台南一带沿海地区登陆，然后继续向东北方向穿过台湾进入到台湾东部海域。后天（24日）开始，由于19号台风苏力和20号台风西马仑先后北上汇入到西风带中，副热带高压将再度大举加强西伸，92W也将在东海东南部附近海域逐渐向西北方向转向并逐渐趋向浙闽沿海。

(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 22.0N 118.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 119.0E, APPROXIMATELY
203 NM SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS A
WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING
CONVECTION BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO THE LLCC. A 220157Z MHS METOP-A
IMAGE EMPHASIZES THAT THE CONVECTION IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED
AND IS WRAPPING IN. THE ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT
WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-20 KTS), GOOD
DIVERGENCE ALOFT, AND WARM SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 28-30C.
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE CIRCULATION WILL
GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 997 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
MEDIUM.

路径网站上没有找到这个台风

EC新报92登陆粤东 后面系统登陆浙江

T1.0

哪个贴一下EC的预报图

第一张上午10点，第二张下午1点，发展的可以啊。

EC认为后面一个扰动在浙江加强了