按照ec预测，七月上旬副高异常偏东偏北偏弱，台风很难登陆

GFS报出一货在肥东转向北上直插闽台（gif似乎动不了）

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jun 26 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A non-tropical area of low pressure is likely to form along a
stationary front near the coast of North Carolina on Wednesday.
Thereafter, environmental conditions could support this system
acquiring some tropical characteristics over the next few days as
the system moves eastward or northeastward away from the United
States.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Blake

GFS新报（6月26日12z）继续报出东太流水线

gfs新报不支持闽台货，但是……

删前留名

1. Disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms extending from eastern
North Carolina eastward over the western Atlantic are associated
with a weak non-tropical area of low pressure. Environmental
conditions could support some limited development of this system
during the next day or two before the system moves northeastward
away from the United States.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

中期天气预报
预报：鲍媛媛 蔡芗宁 签发：张芳华 2018 年 06 月 27 日 10 时
三、长期天气展望
未来11-20天（7月7-16日），主要降雨区位于东北地区南部、华北、黄淮、汉水上游及东南部沿海等地，上述大部地区累积降雨量有40～90毫米，部分地区有100～200毫米。此外，西北太平洋将有1～2个台风生成。
未来11-20天，江淮、江南等地多高温天气。

闽南货?

NOAA钦定了

EC新报支持90W在东海发展