ICON新报（6月24日12z）报出一转向货

GFS新报（24/12Z），基本维持东太大飓风上望

2. A tropical wave located just west of Costa Rica and Nicaragua is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical
depression could form by the middle of the week while the system
moves westward, well south of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
3. Another tropical wave is expected to move into the eastern Pacific
early this week. Some subsequent development of this system is
possible as it moves generally westward to the south of Central
America.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low..20 percent.

ECMWF和GFS延后东太大飓风巅峰

GFS新报（6月24日18z）

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Jun 24 2018
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Daniel, located several hundred miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
1. An elongated area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles
south of Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing only limited shower and
thunderstorm activity over a broad area. Development of this system
is becoming less likely, but is still possible during the next two
to three days before it interacts and possibly merges with a
tropical wave approaching from the east.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
2. A tropical wave located to the south of Guatemala and southeastern
Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development,
and a tropical depression could form later this week week while the
system moves westward, well south of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
3. Another tropical wave is expected to move over the eastern Pacific
early this week. Some subsequent development of this system is
possible, and a tropical depression could form south of Central
America or the Gulf of Tehuantepec by the middle of the week as it
moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium..40 percent.
Forecaster Zelinsky

未来11-20天（7月5-14日），主要降雨区将位于西北地区东南部、东北地区南部、华北、黄淮北部、西南地区及东南部沿海等地，大部地区累积降雨量有40～70毫米，部分地区有80～200毫米。此外，西北太平洋洋面将有1～2个台风生成。
25-29日，主雨带将自黄淮地区南压至长江中下游沿江地区；30日-7月2日，主雨带维持在长江中下游地区。
26日-7月4日，华北、黄淮北部、陕西关中、东北地区南部等地将出现持续性高温天气，部分地区37～38℃，局地可达40℃以上。

北大

好像是越南货

GFS新报（25/00Z）调弱东太大飓风
@等风舞动青枫叶

调强

GFS00Z：台风？不存在的！
然后594登陆日本上空，588覆盖整个韩国