破顶
风切即将坐火箭，海温即将反向坐火箭

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 15/1500Z 20.0N 113.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 16/0000Z 20.8N 114.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 16/1200Z 22.0N 116.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 17/0000Z 23.5N 118.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 17/1200Z 24.7N 119.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 18/0000Z 25.4N 119.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 18/1200Z 26.0N 120.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

13E MARIO 250915 1800 20.3N 113.8W EPAC 55 993

TXPZ28 KNES 151834
TCSENP
A. 13E (MARIO)
B. 15/1801Z
C. 20.3N
D. 113.6W
E. THREE/GOES-W
F. T3.0/3.0
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...IRREGULAR CDO MEASURING GREATER THAN 1.5 DEGREE RESULTS
IN A DT OF 3.0. THE MET AND PT AGREE. THE FT IS BASED ON THE MET BECAUSE
THE EDGE OF THE CONVECTION WAS NOT CLEARLY DEFINED.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...BERTALAN

INIT 15/2100Z 20.8N 114.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 16/0600Z 21.8N 115.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 16/1800Z 23.3N 117.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 17/0600Z 24.4N 118.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
48H 17/1800Z 25.4N 119.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 18/0600Z 26.3N 120.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED

EP, 13, 2025091600, , BEST, 0, 211N, 1146W, 50, 995, TS,

截至09月15日18Z：
13E Mario ACE = 1.4425
西太 ACE = 59.595（9月 ACE = 3.475）
东太 ACE = 88.97（9月 ACE = 36.115）
北大 ACE = 38.975（9月 ACE = 0）
北印 ACE = 0（9月 ACE = 0）
北半球 ACE = 187.34 （9月 ACE = 39.39）
西南印 ACE = 2.94（9月 ACE = 1.47）
澳洲区 ACE = 0（9月 ACE = 0）
南太 ACE = 0（9月 ACE = 0）
南半球2025－2026风季ACE = 2.94 （9月 ACE = 1.47）
全球 2025年 ACE = 411.47 （9月 ACE = 40.86）

TXPZ28 KNES 160043
TCSENP
A. 13E (MARIO)
B. 16/0001Z
C. 21.1N
D. 114.5W
E. THREE/GOES-W
F. T3.0/3.0
G. IR/EIR/VIS/GMI
H. REMARKS...IRREGULAR CDO MEASURING 1.5 DEGREE RESULTS IN A DT OF
3.0. THE MET IS 3.0 BASED ON A SLOW DEVELOPING TREND OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. THE PT IS ALSO 3.0. THE FT IS BASED ON THE MET BECAUSE THE EDGE
OF THE CONVECTION WAS NOT CLEARLY DEFINED.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
15/1840Z 20.5N 113.7W GMI
...BERTALAN