之前看预测图北大西洋一堆红是这个气旋吗？

调弱前期发展，后期路径收束

TXNT25 KNES 111832
TCSNTL
A. 05L (ERIN)
B. 11/1800Z
C. 17.7N
D. 29.4W
E. FIVE/GOES-E
F. T2.0/2.0
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...3.5/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 2.0. THE MET IS 1.5. THE
PT IS 2.0. THE FT IS BASED ON THE PT BECAUSE THE BANDING FEATURES ARE
NOT CLEAR CUT DUE TO PULSING CONVECTION.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...MONAGHAN

INIT 11/2100Z 17.4N 30.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 12/0600Z 17.4N 33.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 12/1800Z 17.3N 37.1W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 13/0600Z 17.1N 40.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 13/1800Z 17.3N 44.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
60H 14/0600Z 17.8N 47.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
72H 14/1800Z 18.5N 50.0W 80 KT 90 MPH
96H 15/1800Z 20.0N 55.6W 95 KT 110 MPH
120H 16/1800Z 22.0N 60.5W 100 KT 115 MPH

是ygsj的帖子啊，我浅浅上望一下啊……爆米老头金币（bushi）

数值对干空气的反应不一

上望155

TXNT25 KNES 120025
TCSNTL
A. 05L (ERIN)
B. 12/0000Z
C. 17.8N
D. 31.0W
E. THREE/GOES-E
F. T2.5/2.5
G. IR/EIR/PRXY/VIS/GMI
H. REMARKS...4.5/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 2.5. 2239Z SSMIS PASS
GAVE SOLID FIX AND SHOWED GOOD BANDING S AND SW OF CENTER. MET=2.0 AND
PT=2.5. FT BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
11/2239Z 17.8N 30.8W GMI
...KONON

AL, 05, 2025081200, , BEST, 0, 175N, 313W, 40, 1004, TS, 34, NEQ, 20, 0, 0, 30, 1010, 100, 20, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ERIN, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 016,