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回复:【讨论台风】西北太平洋台风202506韦帕(Wipha)

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我这边台风蓝色预警了


IP属地:福建742楼2025-07-18 17:00
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    这么大环流过几天闽南风应该很大


    IP属地:福建来自iPhone客户端743楼2025-07-18 17:04
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      2026-01-22 22:37:59
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      个头是真滴大,北侧云系都快到浙闽沿海了,越看越觉得像尤特


      IP属地:浙江744楼2025-07-18 17:04
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        icon新报


        IP属地:广东来自Android客户端745楼2025-07-18 17:05
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          IP属地:海南746楼2025-07-18 17:05
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            看着最近几小时怎么卡在菲东北角了?


            IP属地:广东来自iPhone客户端747楼2025-07-18 17:07
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              WTPH20 RPMM 180600
              SECURITE
              TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING FOR SHIPPING NR. 10
              ISSUED AT 0600UTC, 18 JULY 2025 BY DOST-PAGASA, PHILIPPINES
              TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) 990HPA
              AT 0600UTC, PSTN 18.1N 122.9E MOV WNW 10KT
              MXWD 40KT NEAR CTR
              34KT 130NM NE 130NM SE 110NM SW 130NM NW QUAD
              12-HOUR FCST VLD AT 181800UTC
              PSTN 19.4N 120.6E, PRES 990HPA, MWXD 40KT
              24-HOUR FCST VLD AT 190600UTC
              PSTN 20.1N 118.9E, PRES 990HPA, MWXD 45KT
              36-HOUR FCST VLD AT 191800UTC
              PSTN 21.2N 116.3E, PRES 980HPA, MWXD 55KT
              48-HOUR FCST VLD AT 200600UTC
              PSTN 21.5N 113.9E, PRES 980HPA, MWXD 55KT
              60-HOUR FCST VLD AT 201800UTC
              PSTN 21.5N 111.4E, PRES 985HPA, MWXD 50KT
              72-HOUR FCST VLD AT 210600UTC
              PSTN 21.2N 109.7E, PRES 990HPA, MWXD 45KT
              ALL VESSELS WITHIN 300 NM OF 18.1N 122.9E, SEND 3-HOURLY WX REPORTS.
              NEXT WARNING 181200UTC
              WEATHER MANILA=


              IP属地:江苏748楼2025-07-18 17:07
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                照现在这样子广东巡抚了,到湛江风力应该削弱很多了吧


                IP属地:广东来自Android客户端750楼2025-07-18 17:12
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                  2026-01-22 22:31:59
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                  IP属地:广东来自iPhone客户端751楼2025-07-18 17:13
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                    这种季风低压降水很可怕。这个形态很像当年水王莫拉克台风。台湾史上最强降雨。还有N年前的碧利斯也是这种 一个强热也能把雨下爆


                    IP属地:福建来自iPhone客户端752楼2025-07-18 17:13
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                      佛山已经狂风暴雨一个多小时了 体感今年以来最大的一场雨


                      IP属地:广东来自Android客户端753楼2025-07-18 17:14
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                        The system is currently classified as a monsoon depression, generally characterized as a large cyclonic circulation, greater than 1111 km diameter, with gale-fore winds over the southeastern edge and a weak core of light winds.
                        Satellite imagery shows a broad, consolidating low-level circulation center (LLCC) with improved convective curved banding wrapping into a broad LLCC.
                        Satellite radar shows a large core of weak winds (approximately 370 km diameter) surrounded by a band of 55–65 km/h winds (30–35 knots). Analysis shows low to moderate wind shear of 30–35 km/h (15–20 knots), good equatorward upper-level outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures of 30–31°C.
                        Deterministic and ensemble models forecast a more defined, consolidated structure with a northwestward track over the next 18 hours and increasing sustained winds of generally 65–85 km/h (35–45 knots). However, some models suggest sustained winds as high as 93 km/h (50 knots) through the next 1 to 2 days.


                        IP属地:广东来自Android客户端754楼2025-07-18 17:14
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                          台风快讯
                          2025年总378期
                          中国气象局中央气象台07月18日17时13分
                          时 间:18 日 17 时
                          命 名:“韦帕”,WIPHA
                          编 号:2506 号
                          中心位置:北纬19.0度、东经123.2度
                          强度等级:热带风暴
                          最大风力:8级, 18米/秒(约65公里/小时)
                          中心气压:998 hPa
                          参考位置:距离菲律宾马尼拉北偏东方向约540公里
                          风圈半径:七级风圈半径 东北方向380公里;东南方向380公里;西南方向260公里;西北方向280公里
                          预报结论:“韦帕”将以每小时25公里左右的速度向西偏北方向移动,强度逐渐增强
                          (下次更新时间为18日20时30分)


                          IP属地:福建755楼2025-07-18 17:16
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                            17点较14点 稍微西调


                            IP属地:广东756楼2025-07-18 17:16
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                              2026-01-22 22:25:59
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                              不知道能不能熬过去


                              IP属地:广东来自iPhone客户端757楼2025-07-18 17:18
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