TXPS22 KNES 271452
TCSWSP
A. 18P (ALFRED)
B. 27/1420Z
C. 18.3S
D. 155.5E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T4.5/5.0
G. IR/EIR/AMSU
H. REMARKS...HIMAWARI IMAGERY IS BEING RECEIVED AGAIN. THIS
CLASSIFICATION IS IN LIEU OF THE 12Z FIX. RECENT MW DATA AS WELL AS EIR
IMAGERY SUGGESTS AN ERC IS UNDERWAY. 17/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF
4.5. THE PT AGREES WHILE THE MET IS 4.0. THE FT IS BASED ON THE DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
27/1116Z 18.1S 155.2E AMSU
...TURK

NAME: SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE ALFRED
IDENTIFIER: 22U
DATA AT: 1800 UTC
LATITUDE: 18.4S
LONGITUDE: 155.7E
LOCATION ACCURACY: WITHIN 15NM (30 KM)
MOVEMENT TOWARDS: SOUTH SOUTHEAST (162 DEG)
SPEED OF MOVEMENT: 5 KNOTS (9 KM/H)
MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE WIND: 85 KNOTS (155 KM/H)
MAXIMUM 3-SECOND WIND GUST: 120 KNOTS (220 KM/H)
CENTRAL PRESSURE: 956 HPA
FORECAST DATA
DATE/TIME : LOCATION : LOC. ACCURACY: MAX WIND : CENTRAL PRESSURE
(UTC) : DEGREES : NM (KM): KNOTS(KM/H): HPA
+06: 28/0000: 19.1S 155.9E: 025 (050): 085 (155): 957
+12: 28/0600: 19.8S 155.9E: 035 (065): 080 (150): 961
+18: 28/1200: 20.2S 155.9E: 045 (080): 080 (150): 960
+24: 28/1800: 20.7S 155.8E: 050 (090): 070 (130): 969
+36: 01/0600: 21.4S 155.3E: 065 (125): 060 (110): 977
+48: 01/1800: 22.0S 154.9E: 080 (145): 055 (100): 980
+60: 02/0600: 22.8S 155.2E: 095 (180): 055 (100): 981
+72: 02/1800: 23.6S 156.0E: 110 (205): 050 (095): 985
+96: 03/1800: 25.8S 158.5E: 175 (325): 050 (095): 984
+120: 04/1800: 26.6S 159.5E: 275 (515): 050 (095): 981

18P ALFRED 250227 1800 18.4S 155.6E SHEM 95 952

TPPS12 PGTW 271824
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 27/1730Z
C. 18.61S
D. 155.65E
E. THREE/GK2A
F. T6.0/6.0/D1.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 09A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. OW EYE SURROUNDED BY B YIELDS
AN E# OF 5.5. ADDED 0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR B, TO YIELD A DT OF 6.0.
MET YIELDS 6.0. PT YIELDS 5.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
SWANSON

TXPS22 KNES 271754
TCSWSP
A. 18P (ALFRED)
B. 27/1720Z
C. 18.6S
D. 155.8E
E. ONE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T4.5/5.0
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...RECENT MW DATA SHOWED THE ERC CONTINUES TO PROGRESS AND
THIS IS DISRUPTING THE DVORAK CLASSIFICATION PROCESS. A LG EYE SURROUNDED
BY B AND EMBEDDED IN LG RESULTS IN A DT OF 4.5 AFTER 0.5 IS SUBTRACTED
FOR THE EYE ADJUSTMENT. A SLOW WEAKENING TREND YIELDS A MET OF 4.5. PT
IS ALSO 4.5. THE FT IS BASED ON THE DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...TURK

TPPS12 PGTW 272123
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 27/2030Z
C. 18.84S
D. 155.65E
E. THREE/GK2A
F. T5.5/6.0/D0.5/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 09A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. OW EYE SURROUNDED BY LG
YIELDS AN E# OF 5.0. ADDED 0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR W, TO YIELD A DT
OF 5.5. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
SWANSON

漂亮滴很呐

TPPS12 PGTW 280023
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 27/2330Z
C. 19.05S
D. 155.63E
E. THREE/GK2A
F. T5.5/6.0/D0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 11A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. EYE EMBEDDED 60NM IN CDO
YIELDS AN E# OF 6.0 AND DT (NO EYE ADJUSTMENT) OF 6.0. MET YIELDS
6.0. PT YIELDS 5.5. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
SWANSON