STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA
AT 33N 138E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING ENE 30 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 33N 138E TO 32N 142E 30N 144E.
COLD FRONT FROM 33N 138E TO 30N 136E 28N 132E.
WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400
MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 65 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 38N 151E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 42N 160E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 80
MILES RADIUS.
ANOTHER LOW 1008 HPA AT 37N 137E
MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS.

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.18 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA 40N155E 972 MB. WITHIN 480 NM E
AND SE QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N161E 956 MB. WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 70 TO 90 KT. SEAS 18 TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM
E...240 NM S...120 NM W...AND 180 NM N QUADRANTS WINDS 50 TO 65
KT. SEAS 11 TO 26 FT...HIGHEST IN S QUADRANT. ALSO W OF A LINE
FROM 32N160E TO 39N170E TO 43N170E TO 46N165E WINDS 40 TO 50 KT.
SEAS 10 TO 20 FT. OTHERWISE FROM 30N TO 46N W OF 176E WINDS 25
TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 52N173E 936 MB. BETWEEN 120 NM AND 360 NM
S QUADRANT WINDS 55 TO 75 KT. SEAS 30 TO 46 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
300 NM E...540 NM S AND SW...AND 360 NM NW AND N QUADRANTS...AND
WITHIN 120 NM NE OF A FRONT FROM 55N173E TO 49N174W TO 37N174W
WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 14 TO 34 FT...HIGHEST IN S QUADRANT.
ALSO NW OF A LINE FROM 30N171E TO 33N166W TO 56N169W WINDS 25 TO
40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 28 FT...HIGHEST S OF LOW CENTER.

GFS本报上望持续80kt/阵风100kt/935hPa，略调强。注意GFS预报风速一直比其它数值略弱

STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA
AT 35N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING ENE 35 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 35N 145E TO 34N 148E 33N 151E.
COLD FRONT FROM 35N 145E TO 32N 143E 30N 140E 27N 136E.
WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500
MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 70 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 18 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 40N 155E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 65
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 45N 166E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 80
MILES RADIUS.

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA 40N155E 973 MB. WITHIN 480 NM SE
QUADRANT WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N160E 956 MB. WITHIN 240 NM E AND 180 NM
S QUADRANTS WINDS 70 TO 95 KT. SEAS 18 TO 34 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N165E 940 MB. WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 70 TO 100 KT. SEAS 25 TO 45 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM
E...300 NM S...180 NM W...AND 180 NM N QUADRANTS...AND WITHIN
180 NM E OF A LINE FROM 44N171E TO 37N168E WINDS 50 TO 70 KT.
SEAS 15 TO 30 FT. ALSO W OF A LINE FROM 30N166E TO 40N179E TO
46N177E TO 48N174E WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT.
OTHERWISE FROM 30N TO 50N W OF 178W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO
18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 52N176E 939 MB. BETWEEN 120 NM AND 360 NM
S AND SW QUADRANTS WINDS 60 TO 70 KT. SEAS 30 TO 50 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N...AND 540 NM S AND SW QUADRANTS...AND
FROM 37N TO 52N BETWEEN 164W AND 173W WINDS 45 TO 60 KT. SEAS 20
TO 40 FT...EXCEPT E OF 173W SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. ALSO NW OF A LINE
FROM 30N174E TO 30N171W TO 36N160W TO 55N160W WINDS 30 TO 45 KT.
SEAS 11 TO 30 FT...HIGHEST S OF LOW CENTER.

GFS提高上望至932hPa

爆发前奏

EC上望持续100KT/阵风125KT/935hPa

各数值模式的阵风预报

STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA
AT 37N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING ENE 40 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 37N 150E TO 37N 153E 37N 155E 36N 157E.
COLD FRONT FROM 37N 150E TO 34N 149E 31N 147E 28N 144E.
WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 70 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 12 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 42N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 65
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 47N 171E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 80
MILES RADIUS.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 152E 45N 160E
52N 170E 53N 180E 47N 180E 40N 162E 37N 152E 40N 152E.