台风吧 关注:333,637贴子:7,407,377

回复:【讨论风暴】北太平洋NP12-20241213

取消只看楼主收藏回复

从昨天06Z到今天06Z,NP12(论坛NP32)24小时降压已达37hPa,达到了炸弹气旋的标准


IP属地:吉林49楼2024-12-14 21:26
收起回复

    STORM WARNING.
    DEVELOPING LOW 960 HPA
    AT 42N 161E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NE 45 KNOTS.
    OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 161E TO 42N 163E 41N 164E.
    WARM FRONT FROM 41N 164E TO 38N 167E 36N 168E.
    COLD FRONT FROM 41N 164E TO 34N 160E 31N 155E 28N 150E.
    WINDS 30 TO 70 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND
    400 MILES ELSEWHERE.
    EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 70 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTH
    SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
    FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 47N 171E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 65
    MILES RADIUS.
    FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 51N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 80
    MILES RADIUS.
    WARNING.
    DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 156E 47N 165E
    54N 172E 54N 180E 48N 180E 42N 163E 40N 156E 43N 156E.


    IP属地:吉林53楼2024-12-14 22:51
    回复
      2026-05-27 07:29:16
      广告
      不感兴趣
      开通SVIP免广告







      IP属地:吉林来自Android客户端54楼2024-12-14 22:58
      收起回复
        OPC天气图已出,12Z气压963hPa,预计明天12Z气压933hPa(巅峰后)。风速还不知道给了多少,要等报文出来。猜一个75kt左右(毕竟那会儿还在爆发阶段)


        IP属地:吉林55楼2024-12-15 00:19
        回复



          IP属地:吉林56楼2024-12-15 00:21
          回复

            ...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
            .LOW 42N161E 963 MB RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING AND MOVING NE 30 KT.
            FROM 34N TO 43N W OF 168E WINDS 50 TO 70 KT. SEAS 18 TO 27 FT.
            ELSEWHERE S OF 46N W OF 171E WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.
            ALSO S OF 47N W OF 177E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.
            .12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N171E 933 MB. WITHIN 240 NM S AND SW
            QUADRANTS WINDS 75 TO 100 KT. SEAS 38 TO 52 FT. ALSO BETWEEN 120
            NM AND 480 NM E AND S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 60 TO 75 KT. SEAS 30 TO
            42 FT.
            .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 51N175E 933 MB. WITHIN 480 NM S AND SW
            QUADRANTS WINDS 55 TO 70 KT. SEAS 36 TO 51 FT. ELSEWHERE 39N TO
            51N BETWEEN 180W AND 166E...AND WITHIN 180 NM N AND E OF A FRONT
            TO EXTEND FROM LOW CENTER TO 53N173E TO 54N177E TO 52N175W TO
            44N173W TO 36N178W WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 21 TO 42 FT...HIGHEST
            S OF CENTER. ALSO W OF A LINE FROM 60N179W TO 50N166W TO 30N167W
            WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 29 FT.
            .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 53N178E 950 MB. WITHIN 360 NM S SEMICIRCLE
            WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 30 TO 42 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 163W WITHIN
            THE BERING SEA AND WITHIN 660 NM NE OF A LINE FROM 50N165E TO
            43N180W TO 35N170W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 28 FT.


            IP属地:吉林57楼2024-12-15 00:42
            回复


              IP属地:吉林来自Android客户端58楼2024-12-15 00:47
              回复








                IP属地:吉林来自Android客户端59楼2024-12-15 00:47
                收起回复
                  2026-05-27 07:23:16
                  广告
                  不感兴趣
                  开通SVIP免广告








                  IP属地:吉林来自Android客户端61楼2024-12-15 02:23
                  回复










                    IP属地:吉林来自Android客户端62楼2024-12-15 06:18
                    回复
                      OPC给出历史性的100KT!!!
                      这是OPC近年来唯一给出100KT的纯温气(不含TC转化的温气),也是北太平洋历史最强温气之一(甚至可能没有之一)!!!
                      .LOW 45N167E 942 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. WITHIN 240 NM S AND SW QUADRANTS WINDS 75 TO 100 KT. SEAS 38 TO 52 FT


                      IP属地:吉林来自Android客户端63楼2024-12-15 06:25
                      收起回复

                        STORM WARNING.
                        DEVELOPING LOW 944 HPA
                        AT 45N 167E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NE 40 KNOTS.
                        OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 167E TO 46N 167E 45N 170E 42N 171E.
                        WARM FRONT FROM 42N 171E TO 39N 173E 37N 174E.
                        COLD FRONT FROM 42N 171E TO 36N 167E 31N 162E 29N 155E.
                        WINDS 30 TO 70 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND
                        400 MILES ELSEWHERE.
                        EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 70 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTH
                        SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
                        FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 50N 174E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 65
                        MILES RADIUS.
                        FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 52N 176E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 80
                        MILES RADIUS.
                        ——————————
                        WARNING.
                        DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 162E 48N 168E
                        55N 170E 54N 180E 48N 180E 44N 170E 43N 163E 45N 162E.


                        IP属地:吉林本楼含有高级字体64楼2024-12-15 06:47
                        收起回复
                          历史性的一刻

                          ...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
                          .LOW 45N167E 942 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. WITHIN 240 NM S AND SW
                          QUADRANTS WINDS 75 TO 100 KT. SEAS 38 TO 52 FT.
                          ALSO BETWEEN 60
                          NM AND 420 NM E AND S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 60 TO 75 KT. SEAS 30 TO
                          42 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 38N TO 49N BETWEEN 176E AND 160E AND WITHIN
                          150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 40N173E TO 32N166E WINDS 40 TO
                          60 KT. SEAS 18 TO 32 FT. OTHERWISE S OF 51N W OF 177W WINDS 25 TO
                          40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 21 FT.
                          .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 52N176E 938 MB. FROM 46N TO 50N BETWEEN
                          180W AND 167E WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 36 TO 51 FT. ELSEWHERE
                          WITHIN 720 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A
                          LINE FROM 54N175E TO 57N180W TO 53N170W TO 45N166W TO 38N167W TO
                          34N173W WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 36 FT. OTHERWISE FROM 32N
                          TO 61N W OF 161W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT.
                          .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 54N178E 952 MB. WITHIN 1140 NM SE QUADRANT
                          WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 49N W OF 160W
                          WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 21 FT.


                          IP属地:吉林本楼含有高级字体65楼2024-12-15 06:49
                          回复


                            IP属地:吉林来自Android客户端66楼2024-12-15 06:51
                            回复
                              2026-05-27 07:17:16
                              广告
                              不感兴趣
                              开通SVIP免广告
                              15Z前后AMSR-2显示中心附近有大面积>80kt区域,此时系统还没达到巅峰,仍在迅速增强







                              IP属地:吉林来自Android客户端67楼2024-12-15 06:59
                              收起回复