WTPQ52 RJTD 121800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 121800UTC 12.9N 145.5E FAIR
MOVE WSW 11KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
12HF 130600UTC 12.9N 143.3E 45NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 131800UTC 12.4N 140.4E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 141800UTC 11.7N 134.0E 100NM 70%
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 151800UTC 13.2N 128.4E 120NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
96HF 161800UTC 15.7N 124.7E 150NM 70%
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
120HF 171800UTC 18.0N 121.4E 180NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =

25W MAN-YI 241112 1800 13.0N 145.0E WPAC 45 994

TPPN12 PGTW 121814
A. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI)
B. 12/1730Z
C. 13.65N
D. 145.40E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T2.5/2.5/S0.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .45 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 2.5. MET YIELDS 3.0 DUE TO SLOW DEVELOPMENT TREND.
PT YIELDS 2.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
RAE

TXPQ24 KNES 121800
TCSWNP
A. 25W (MAN-YI)
B. 12/1730Z
C. 13.5N
D. 145.5E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T2.0/2.0
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...SYSTEM CHARACTERIZED BY CIRCULAR DEFINED CLOUD LINES
LOCATED UNDER A COLD OVERCAST MEASURING UNDER 1.5 DEG. DT=2.0 MET=1.5
PT=2.0 THE FT IS BASED ON THE DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...FISHER

TPPN12 PGTW 122056
A. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI)
B. 12/2030Z
C. 12.72N
D. 144.51E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T2.5/2.5/S0.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 70/PBO ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .40 ON LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDING A
DT OF 2.5. MET YIELDS 3.0. PT YIELDS 2.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
RAE

台 风 公 报
预报：刘达 签发：陈博宇 2024 年 11 月 13 日 06 时
“万宜”向西偏南方向移动
三、“万宜”向西偏南方向移动
今年第24号台风“万宜”（热带风暴级）的中心今天早晨5点钟位于关岛西南方向约40公里的洋面上，就是北纬13.2度、东经144.5度，中心附近最大风力8级（20米/秒），中心最低气压为995百帕，七级风圈半径80-100公里。
预计，“万宜”将以每小时20公里左右的速度向西偏南方向移动，强度逐渐增强。

蛮夷入主中原

WTPQ52 RJTD 122100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 122100UTC 12.2N 144.8E FAIR
MOVE WSW 14KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
12HF 130900UTC 12.8N 142.6E 45NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 132100UTC 12.2N 139.6E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 141800UTC 11.7N 134.0E 100NM 70%
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 151800UTC 13.2N 128.4E 120NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
93HF 161800UTC 15.7N 124.7E 150NM 70%
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
117HF 171800UTC 18.0N 121.4E 180NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =

有可能菲东转向吗

感觉还是有些被切，不过这样的好处在于南下的程度进一步加深了，希望结构别出问题。