可能会对菲律宾造成重大影响，除名概率很大了

C5

想要官评C5的话，至少要分析出两报t7.0（正式报）

TPPN12 PGTW 152056
A. TYPHOON 25W (MAN-YI)
B. 15/2030Z
C. 12.27N
D. 127.32E
E. ONE/GK2A
F. T6.5/6.5/D2.5/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 05A/PBO IRREG EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY W YIELDS
AN E# OF 6.0. ADDED 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR W, TO YIELD A DT OF 7.0.
MET YIELDS A 5.5. PT YIELDS A 6.5. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
15/1710Z 11.90N 128.00E AMS2
LINDGREN

cmg有望。至少现在CDO和风眼仍在调整，还有不少上升空间。

蜕变

一觉起来W+WMG了

可惜没赶上好的对流层顶的时候，cmg成环要比较强的实力去支撑，而且准备日出会有些debuff

早上好

WTPQ52 RJTD 152100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 152100UTC 12.3N 127.3E GOOD
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 210NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 160900UTC 13.5N 125.3E 25NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
24HF 162100UTC 14.6N 123.3E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT