ZCZC
WTPQ20 BABJ 150600 CCA
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TY BEBINCA 2413 (2413) INITIAL TIME 150600 UTC
00HR 30.1N 126.2E 960HPA 40M/S
30KTS WINDS 280KM NORTHEAST
260KM SOUTHEAST
200KM SOUTHWEST
250KM NORTHWEST
50KTS WINDS 100KM NORTHEAST
80KM SOUTHEAST
80KM SOUTHWEST
100KM NORTHWEST
64KTS WINDS 40KM NORTHEAST
40KM SOUTHEAST
40KM SOUTHWEST
40KM NORTHWEST
MOVE WNW 25KM/H
P+06HR 30.3N 124.7E 955HPA 42M/S
P+12HR 30.6N 123.2E 950HPA 45M/S
P+18HR 30.9N 121.7E 960HPA 40M/S
P+24HR 31.2N 120.1E 980HPA 30M/S
P+36HR 32.0N 117.2E 998HPA 18M/S
P+48HR 32.8N 115.2E 1002HPA 15M/S=
NNNN

目前中心差不多与岱山同纬度

WTPQ50 RJTD 150600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2413 BEBINCA (2413)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 150600UTC 30.1N 126.1E GOOD
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 180NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 151800UTC 30.5N 123.1E 30NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 160600UTC 31.2N 120.2E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 170600UTC 32.5N 115.2E 55NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

宁波大暴雨了，十分钟下了25mm

B环连

走的慢，强度加强，感觉后面路径会更平西了

一觉醒来，冲我来的

铁路人晚上十点到虹桥，还得回市区，到时候给你们直播

北边的云是辐散吗

大概什么时候登陆？

这个会有C4吗

以现在的形态来看，最好的情况是这么样，现在利用好环境好好增强一波，冲到一个不错的强度让吧友爽一爽，然后风切干空气围殴贝碧嘉使其降低到一个对我国危害相对很小的强度登陆，长三角蜂蜜解了渴，盼风皮鸭破了防，经济损失也较小，一举四得啊

眼墙继续爆对流，现在轮廓已经比较清晰了

CMA强度上望依旧为45m/s