91P INVEST 201211 0000 10.9S 170.4E SHEM 25 1001

FMS编号02F

因为在责任区内，所以瓦努阿图发报，认为会加强为一级热带气旋。数值看是两扰融合后发展，而且目前91P对流更旺，看斐济怎么定了。

TXPS42 PHFO 111200
TCSSP2
SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1200 UTC FRI DEC 11 2020
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 91P
B. 11/1100Z
C. 12.3S
D. 168.8E
E. HIMAWARI-8
F. T1.0/1.0
G. VIS/IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN LLCC WITH DISORGANIZED
CONVECTION WRAPPING .20 ON A LOG 10 SPIRAL. YIELDING A DT OF 1.0.
PT AGREES AND MET IS 1.0. FINAL T BASED ON DT AND PT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
$$

TPPS11 PGTW 111248
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 91P (NE OF PORT VILA)
B. 11/1200Z
C. 12.02S
D. 168.99E
E. FIVE/HMWRI8
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. THIS SYSTEM IS TOO
WEAK TO CLASSIFY.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
MARTIN

91P INVEST 201211 1200 12.6S 169.5E SHEM 25 1002

GFS新报预计91P巅峰943

91P INVEST 201211 1800 12.6S 169.3E SHEM 25 1002

TXPS26 KNES 111826
TCSWSP
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (91P)
B. 11/1730Z
C. 10.6S
D. 170.4E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-8
F. T1.5/1.5
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...THIS INTENSITY ESTIMATE WAS DERIVED USING 4 KM IR
DATA. 3.5/10 BANDING AROUND THE LLCC YIELDS A DT OF 1.5. MET AND PT ARE
EQUAL TO 2.0 BASED ON A DEVELOPMENT TREND IN THE LAST 24H. FT IS BASED
ON CONSTRAINTS AS CAHNGE IN FT IS LIMITED TO +0.5 OVER 6H.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...TUGGLE