JTWC 12Z
25W.VAMCO.100kts.961mb.15.5N.113.4E.

WTPQ51 RJTD 131200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2022 VAMCO (2022)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 131200UTC 15.5N 113.4E GOOD
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 140000UTC 15.4N 111.4E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 141200UTC 16.0N 109.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 151200UTC 17.7N 105.4E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

去年东海大年，今年南海大年，明年

cmg正在成环中，蝴蝶恐成小梵高年轻台不讲武德，有对流无德

25W VAMCO 201113 1200 15.5N 113.4E WPAC 100 961
25W VAMCO 201113 0600 15.4N 114.4E WPAC 80 975

有本事给我上到48m/s

adt炸裂

?

HWRF这次是不是又奶中强度了。。。。。。

WMG

AMSU于1014Z分析90节、962百帕，JMA与JTWC最新分析大致在其附近
CIMSS/NESDIS-USAF/NRL AMSU TC Intensity Estimation:
TYPHOON 25W
Friday 13nov20 Time: 1014 UTC
Latitude: 15.40 Longitude: 113.62
Storm position corresponds to AMSU-A FOV 7 [1<--->30]
-----------------------------------------------------------------
| Estimated MSLP: 962 hPa
| Estimated Maximum Sustained Wind: 90 kts
| Estimate Confidence: Good ( +/- 8mb +/- 9kts )
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Storm is sub-sampled: Bias correction applied is -6.9 hPa
Channel 8 (~150 hPa) Tb Anomaly: 2.96689
Channel 7 (~250 hPa) Tb Anomaly: 2.288
RMW: 23 km
RMW Source is: MW
Environmental Pressure: 1007
Satellite: NOAA-19
ATCF data for Month: 11 Day: 13 Time (UTC): 0600

AMSU分析90kt 962hpa
SATCON分析102kt 956hpa