ZCZC
WTPQ20 BABJ 101500
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
STS VAMCO 2022 (2022) INITIAL TIME 101500 UTC
00HR 14.5N 126.2E 982HPA 28M/S
30KTS WINDS 280KM NORTHEAST
320KM SOUTHEAST
260KM SOUTHWEST
200KM NORTHWEST
50KTS WINDS 50KM NORTHEAST
50KM SOUTHEAST
50KM SOUTHWEST
50KM NORTHWEST
MOVE W 20KM/H
P+12HR 14.6N 124.3E 965HPA 38M/S
P+24HR 14.8N 122.3E 945HPA 48M/S
P+36HR 15.2N 119.4E 975HPA 33M/S
P+48HR 15.2N 117.0E 975HPA 33M/S
P+60HR 15.2N 114.7E 970HPA 35M/S
P+72HR 15.2N 112.4E 975HPA 33M/S
P+96HR 16.2N 108.7E 980HPA 30M/S
P+120HR 17.4N 105.5E 998HPA 18M/S=
NNNN

台风快讯2020年总1445期中国气象局中央气象台11月10日23时22分
时 间： 10 日 23 时
命 名： “环高”，VAMCO
编 号： 2022 号
中心位置： 北纬14.5度、东经126.2度
强度等级： 强热带风暴
最大风力： 10级， 28米/秒（约101公里/小时）
中心气压： 982 hPa
参考位置： 位于西北太平洋洋面，距离菲律宾马尼拉偏东方向约560公里
风圈半径： 七级风圈半径 东北方向280公里；东南方向320公里；西南方向260公里；西北方向200公里十级风圈半径　　东北方向50公里；东南方向50公里；西南方向50公里；西北方向50公里
预报结论： “环高”将以每小时20公里左右的速度向偏西方向移动，强度逐渐加强。（下次更新时间为11日2时30分）

很漂亮，但还是希望强度能弱一些。
对个人而已，并不希望强气旋活跃在这个舞台上，毕竟太近了。应该远远的，孤高的行进在宽广的舞池中

早上再看

TXPQ25 KNES 101503
TCSWNP
A. 25W (VAMCO)
B. 10/1430Z
C. 14.4N
D. 126.1E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-8
F. T3.5/3.5
G. IR/EIR/SWIR/AMSU
H. REMARKS...THIS INTENSITY ESTIMATE WAS DERIVED USING 4 KM IR
DATA. 6.5/10 WHITE BANDING AROUND THE LLCC YIELDS A DT OF 3.5. THE MET
IS EQUAL TO 3.0 AND THE PT IS EQUAL TO 3.5 BASED ON A DEVELOPMENT TREND
IN THE LAST 24H. FT IS BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
10/1250Z 14.4N 126.5E AMSU
...TUGGLE

WTPH22 RPMM 101200
TTT STORM WARNING 09
STS VAMCO (2022) TIME 1200 UTC
00 14.4N 126.6E 990HPA 50KT
P06HR WNW 15KT
P+24 14.5N 122.6E
P+48 14.9N 117.4E
P+72 15.0N 112.9E
P+96 15.7N 108.7E
PAGASA=

一颠974，南海巅峰976

WTPQ21 RJTD 101500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2022 VAMCO (2022)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101500UTC 14.4N 126.1E FAIR
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 240NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 111500UTC 14.6N 122.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 121200UTC 14.9N 117.7E 75NM 70%
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 131200UTC 14.7N 113.2E 120NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =

PAGASA强度预测
Intensity: “ULYSSES” is forecast to intensify into a typhoon within the next 12 to 24 hours and reach its peak intensity of 130-155 km/h prior to landfall. While it is likely for this tropical cyclone to weaken due to land interaction during its traverse of mainland Luzon (especially with the Sierra Madre mountain range), it is highly likely that this tropical cyclone will remain a typhoon while crossing the Luzon landmass.

PAGASA二号风球

医师北调

25W VAMCO 201110 1800 14.7N 125.9E WPAC 60 989