回复：【讨论台风】西北太平洋台风202020艾莎尼(Atsani)_台风吧

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回复：【讨论台风】西北太平洋台风202020艾莎尼(Atsani)

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人气全在天鹅

IP属地:福建

来自Android客户端59楼2020-10-29 22:49

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成为1327和1328的后者

IP属地:福建

60楼2020-10-29 22:53

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JMA预报理由明确指出参考了风场扫描
需要指出ASCAT美国的公开风向算法是比较粗糙的，其未必就能精准反映实际低层结构
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE WINDS DATA ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE SCATTEROMETERS.

IP属地:浙江

来自iPhone客户端61楼2020-10-29 23:00

天鹅：你不要过来啊

IP属地:广东

来自Android客户端62楼2020-10-29 23:02

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23W ASTANI 201029 1200 8.2N 148.4E WPAC 25 1007
JTWC拼错名字

IP属地:浙江

来自Android客户端64楼2020-10-29 23:12

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继续拼错名字

IP属地:福建

来自iPhone客户端65楼2020-10-29 23:13

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IP属地:北京

来自Android客户端66楼2020-10-29 23:14

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ZCZC
WTPQ20 BABJ 291200
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TS ATSANI 2020 (2020) INITIAL TIME 291200 UTC
00HR 8.0N 148.5E 1000HPA 18M/S
30KTS WINDS 350KM NORTHEAST
350KM SOUTHEAST
250KM SOUTHWEST
250KM NORTHWEST
MOVE NW 27KM/H
P+12HR 10.1N 146.6E 995HPA 20M/S
P+24HR 11.8N 143.6E 990HPA 23M/S
P+36HR 12.8N 140.6E 985HPA 25M/S
P+48HR 13.9N 139.2E 982HPA 28M/S
P+60HR 15.2N 137.6E 980HPA 30M/S
P+72HR 16.3N 136.0E 965HPA 38M/S
P+96HR 18.1N 134.2E 960HPA 40M/S
P+120HR 19.7N 132.5E 955HPA 42M/S=
NNNN

IP属地:山东

来自Android客户端67楼2020-10-29 23:17

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IP属地:福建

来自iPhone客户端69楼2020-10-29 23:21

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路徑誤差很大～

IP属地:中国澳门

来自iPhone客户端71楼2020-10-29 23:21

奶一下，天鹅155，艾莎尼160！！！

IP属地:福建

来自Android客户端72楼2020-10-29 23:24

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THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED WITH MODERATE CONFIDENCE BASED ON DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T1.5 (25 KNOTS) FROM BOTH PGTW AND KNES. THE AFOREMENTIONED ASCAT DATA DID INDICATE 30 KNOT WINDS WITH SOME ISOLATED 35 KNOT WINDS IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT, HOWEVER THESE HIGHER WINDS ARE ALL CONFINED TO THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE SYSTEM, WITH ONLY 15-20 KNOT MAXIMUM WINDS ON THE NORTHERN SIDE. DUE TO THIS ASYMMETRY, THE INITIAL INTENSITY WAS SET AT 25 KNOTS.