台风吧 关注:325,179贴子:7,222,009

回复:【讨论扰动】94W-20年10月11日编

只看楼主收藏回复

这么氵 啥也不是



IP属地:广东来自Android客户端199楼2020-10-16 08:58
回复
    忘不了13年菲佣的气象局长在联合国大会上哭哭啼啼,控诉气候变化,而如今,菲佣却异常安静好几年


    IP属地:新疆来自iPhone客户端200楼2020-10-16 09:12
    收起回复
      2025-12-29 11:17:55
      广告
      不感兴趣
      开通SVIP免广告
      怎么那么多人不看定位的?总认为94W95W是同一个系统。


      IP属地:广东来自Android客户端202楼2020-10-16 12:03
      回复
        THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
        NEAR 15.0N 118.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 112.4E, APPROXIMATELY
        242 NM EAST OF DANANG, VIETNAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
        IMAGERY DEPICTS A NEAR FULLY-EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
        (LLCC) WITH FLARING DEEP CONVECTION BEING SHEARED TO THE WEST. A
        160201Z MHS METOP-B 89GHZ REVEALS LITTLE TO NO ORGANIZED DEEP
        CONVECTION WITH A SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LLCC. A
        160046Z METOP-A ASCAT PASS SHOWS A SMALL, WEAK CIRCULATION EMBEDDED
        IN THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF A BROADER, WEAK CIRCULATION. THE ASCAT
        PASS REVEALS 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS ON THE NORTHERN SIDE OF 94W WITH
        SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER (5 TO 10 KNOT) WINDS TO THE SOUTH. 94W IS
        CURRENLTY IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH DISORGANIZED UPPER LEVEL
        OUTFLOW, MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (28
        TO 29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR
        AGREEMENT THAT 94W WILL REMAIN LARGELY STATIONARY FOR THE NEXT
        COUPLE DAYS WITH SOME SLIGHT CONSOLIDATION, BEFORE CONTINUING WEST,
        MOVING OVER VIETNAM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
        AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
        NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
        TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A
        (WTPN21 PGTW 150700) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.


        IP属地:广东来自Android客户端204楼2020-10-16 14:02
        回复
          台 风 预 报
          预报:吕心艳 签发:高拴柱 2020 年 10 月 16 日 15 时
          南海热带低压停止编报
          南海热带低压的强度今天(16日)持续减弱,目前已很难确定其环流中心,中央气象台于今天下午2点钟对其停止编报。


          IP属地:福建来自iPhone客户端205楼2020-10-16 14:30
          回复
            台风快讯
            2020年总930期
            中国气象局中央气象台10月16日14时26分
            南海热带低压的强度今天持续减弱,目前已很难确定其环流中心,中央气象台14时对其停止编报。


            IP属地:福建来自iPhone客户端206楼2020-10-16 14:33
            回复
              TPPN11 PGTW 160614
              A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 94W (W OF PHILIPPINES)
              B. 15/0540Z
              C. 16.50N
              D. 109.97E
              E. FIVE/HMWRI8
              F. N/A
              G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
              H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. THIS SYSTEM IS TOO
              WEAK TO CLASSIFY.
              I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
              MARTIN


              IP属地:福建来自iPhone客户端207楼2020-10-16 14:37
              回复
                TXPQ27 KNES 160306
                TCSWNP
                A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (94W)
                B. 16/0230Z
                C. 16.4N
                D. 111.3E
                E. THREE/HIMAWARI-8
                F. T1.0/1.5
                G. IR/EIR/VIS
                H. REMARKS...THIS INTENSITY ESTIMATE WAS DERIVED USING 4 KM IR DATA. 3/10
                BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 1.5. MET AND PT ARE 1.0. FT IS BASED ON MET
                BECAUSE THE BANDING WAS NOT CLEAR-CUT. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL BULLETIN
                FOR THIS SYSTEM.
                I. ADDL POSITIONS
                NIL
                ...CLARK


                IP属地:福建来自iPhone客户端208楼2020-10-16 14:39
                回复
                  2025-12-29 11:11:55
                  广告
                  不感兴趣
                  开通SVIP免广告
                  Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert WTPN21 Cancelled
                  Issued at 16/0700Z


                  IP属地:福建来自iPhone客户端209楼2020-10-16 14:43
                  回复
                    94W INVEST 201016 0600 16.4N 109.7E WPAC 20 1007


                    IP属地:福建来自iPhone客户端211楼2020-10-16 14:56
                    回复
                      THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
                      NEAR 15.0N 118.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 112.4E, APPROXIMATELY
                      242 NM EAST OF DANANG, VIETNAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
                      IMAGERY DEPICTS A NEAR FULLY-EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
                      (LLCC) WITH FLARING DEEP CONVECTION BEING SHEARED TO THE WEST. A
                      160201Z MHS METOP-B 89GHZ REVEALS LITTLE TO NO ORGANIZED DEEP
                      CONVECTION WITH A SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LLCC. A
                      160046Z METOP-A ASCAT PASS SHOWS A SMALL, WEAK CIRCULATION EMBEDDED
                      IN THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF A BROADER, WEAK CIRCULATION. THE ASCAT
                      PASS REVEALS 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS ON THE NORTHERN SIDE OF 94W WITH
                      SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER (5 TO 10 KNOT) WINDS TO THE SOUTH. 94W IS
                      CURRENLTY IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH DISORGANIZED UPPER LEVEL
                      OUTFLOW, MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (28
                      TO 29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR
                      AGREEMENT THAT 94W WILL REMAIN LARGELY STATIONARY FOR THE NEXT
                      COUPLE DAYS WITH SOME SLIGHT CONSOLIDATION, BEFORE CONTINUING WEST,
                      MOVING OVER VIETNAM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
                      AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
                      NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
                      TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO LOW. SEE
                      REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 160700) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.


                      212楼2020-10-16 14:57
                      回复


                        IP属地:福建来自iPhone客户端214楼2020-10-16 15:37
                        收起回复
                          94W INVEST 201016 1200 16.1N 107.2E WPAC 20 1002


                          IP属地:福建来自iPhone客户端215楼2020-10-16 19:26
                          回复
                            TPPN11 PGTW 161238
                            A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 94W (OVER VIETNAM)
                            B. 16/1200Z
                            C. 15.99N
                            D. 107.83E
                            E. FIVE/HMWRI8
                            F. N/A
                            G. IR/EIR
                            H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. DVORAK VALUES
                            UNAVAILABLE DUE TO LLCC OVER LAND.
                            I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
                            MARTIN


                            IP属地:福建来自iPhone客户端216楼2020-10-16 20:44
                            回复