最强地中海气旋是谁呢？

海温不错

SST很好

各大数值调强了登陆希腊强度，生成形成到登陆过程同18年Zorbas一样，但这次na24发展时间要比Zorbas长，海温比Zorbas高，登陆有可能比Zorbas强，上次18年Zorbas登陆希腊气压为985hpa 55kt。
对于地中海这种气旋来说，何时发展到类眼结构是巅峰强度关键（海温是不需要太过重要，25-26c可以支持正压系统发展）。

看完卫星云图，真是很可怕，这个地中海风暴几乎一点不像ss，同西太系统热带风暴一样，造成这样原因因为这里高海温28度？而最新预报希腊登陆地，海温也有27度以上，有机会挑战地中海最强热带气旋？？？目前最激就是icon给出982巅峰，其它数值几乎保守仅仅是调强一下

A few NWP models (e.g. IFS and ICONEU) suggest the development of a low-level cyclone under the blob of deep convection in the Libyan Sea during Tue 15/09 and early morning on Wed 16/09. By the time of issuing this outlook (Mon 14/09, 20z), no visible near-surface vortex exists in the Gulf of Sidra. In addition, there is no strong mid/upper-level vorticity in the analysis maps to support the development of a strong surface cyclone and eventually support these NWP model scenarios that deep convection will be able to diabatically intensify this cyclone by generating large values of low-level PV. Even though a tropical transition of a cyclone is very unlikely to happen by the end of this outlook, this interesting set-up needs to be monitored closely for the following 48 hours.

https://tieba.baidu.com/p/6951268066
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补档昨天的云图

补档凌晨风场