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回复:【讨论扰动】90W-20年08月17日编

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巴威巴威,又巴闭又威风


IP属地:广东来自Android客户端534楼2020-08-21 17:34
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    明天能命名么?现在来看山东登录概率变大还是变小了?


    IP属地:山东来自Android客户端535楼2020-08-21 17:34
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      2025-12-29 18:27:41
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      入夜了


      IP属地:江苏来自Android客户端536楼2020-08-21 17:36
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        来自Android客户端537楼2020-08-21 17:39
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          等会辽宁大台风


          IP属地:广东来自Android客户端538楼2020-08-21 17:45
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            IP属地:江苏来自Android客户端539楼2020-08-21 17:50
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              WTPN21 PGTW 202200MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 90W)//RMKS/1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN125 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 18.2N 122.6E TO 22.7N 122.3EWITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFYISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSATIMAGERY AT 201800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATEDNEAR 18.4N 122.6E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS.2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 122.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 122.6E, APPROXIMATELY 285 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KAOHSIUNG, TAIWAN. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 202023Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE DISTURBANCE. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS 90W TO BE IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, MODERATE VWS (15-20KT), AND WARM SST (30-31C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN STRONG AGREEMENT THAT 90W WILL TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD INTO A REGION OF LOWER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 212200Z.//NNNN
              JTWC认为该扰动在24小时内发展成热带气旋的潜力很高,给予警告。并且分析出90W的发展环境良好。未来会强化。


              541楼2020-08-21 17:52
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                气势磅礴


                IP属地:江苏来自Android客户端542楼2020-08-21 17:55
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                  2025-12-29 18:21:41
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                  今晚能命名吗,毒奶这货C4


                  543楼2020-08-21 17:56
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                    544楼2020-08-21 17:58
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                      入夜


                      IP属地:云南545楼2020-08-21 17:59
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                        壹熱帶低氣壓正於台灣東南方海域形成,稍後數日將向北移動,大致移向東海,預料不會對澳門造成影響。另預期下週華南沿岸將轉受一道低壓槽影響,週中本澳天氣不穏定,有驟雨及雷暴,請市民留意天氣變化。(更新於2020年8月21日17時00分)


                        IP属地:广东来自Android客户端547楼2020-08-21 18:03
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                          548楼2020-08-21 18:04
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