大概什么时候入南海？

不要说我盼风，猪三太热了，强烈需要降温，当然，台风是不以我的意志来移动的

近两小时的云图放一下，主中心有点模糊

立秋后 秋老虎大发威中

形态一差就说不行，说nmc激进，搞得自己比nmc还专业
防台工作做好就好了，工作做得好管他强不强

TCFA

是不是要散架了

WTPN21 PGTW 170330MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 99W)//RMKS/1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 19.0N 122.1E TO 20.8N 116.1EWITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFYISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSATIMAGERY AT 170000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATEDNEAR 19.2N 121.8E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 14KNOTS.2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 18.4N 123.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 121.8E, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM NORTH OF APARRI, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 162240Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE DISTURBANCE. A 170101Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS SHOWS 20KT WINDS EMBEDDED TO THE NORTH OF THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A GOOD ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT AS 99W IS EXPERIENCING FAIR EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, LOW VWS (< 15KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30-31C). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 180330Z.//NNNN

台风快讯
2020年总308期
中国气象局中央气象台08月17日11时12分
时 间：17 日 11 时
中心位置：北纬19.0度、东经121.4度
强度等级：热带低压
最大风力：7级， 15米/秒（约54公里/小时）
中心气压：1002 hPa
参考位置：距离广东省湛江市东偏南方向约1180公里
预报结论：热带低压将以每小时20公里左右的速度向西偏北方向移动，强度缓慢加强。
（下次更新时间为17日14时30分）

ZCZC
WTPQ20 BABJ 170300
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TD 06 INITIAL TIME 170300 UTC
00HR 19.0N 121.4E 1002HPA 15M/S
MOVE WNW 20KM/H
P+06HR 19.4N 120.0E 1002HPA 15M/S
P+12HR 19.6N 118.9E 1002HPA 15M/S
P+18HR 19.8N 117.5E 1002HPA 15M/S
P+24HR 19.8N 116.3E 998HPA 18M/S
P+36HR 19.9N 114.6E 995HPA 20M/S
P+48HR 20.2N 113.1E 990HPA 23M/S
P+60HR 20.7N 111.4E 980HPA 30M/S
P+72HR 21.1N 109.7E 985HPA 25M/S
P+96HR 22.3N 105.7E 1004HPA 12M/S=
NNNN

个头算小不？

依然上望 TY