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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
200 PM HST Wed Aug 19 2020
For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:
1. Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized with an area of
low pressure some 1200 miles southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii.
Environmental conditions are not expected to be conducive for
development as the system moves toward the west near 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days.
Forecaster M Ballard

0/10这个概率很灵性，一方面90C 48h后就即将离开中太地界，另一方面给了五天10%的发展概率。代表CPHC表面依然在（象征性的）监测，实际上已经随时准备甩锅给隔壁JTWC

90C进西太后会重编嘛？

进西太能发展吗？

CPHC的网络延迟怕是现在才看到风场
Showers and thunderstorms have increased but remain disorganized
with an area of low pressure located some 1300 miles southwest of
Honolulu, Hawaii. Environmental conditions are not expected to be
conducive for development as the system moves toward the west near
10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

90C INVEST 200820 0600 10.0N 173.9W CPAC 30 1007

HY-2B扫出未闭合的35kts风旗

ASCAT表示不太行

NAVGEM支持90C进西太发展