一脸季低样

快入夜了（vis上中间最大的那个圆是中心）

更正，中心是我圈出来这个对流空洞、

“风眼”特写（基本入夜，光线较暗）

国家海洋局南海预报中心
预计劳动节期间（1～5日）南海海域大部分时间受副热带高压控制，南海大部海域以轻浪为主。5日受西南低压底部及偏南气流影响，北部湾海域及南海西北部海域有偏南风5～7级，伴有1.3～2.2米的中浪过程。
另外，目前菲律宾以东洋面有热带扰动在活动，根据目前的天气形势分析，预计其发展加强为热带低压的可能性较大，编号为今年第一号台风的可能性较小，需要密切关注。

PAGASA
At 3:00 AM today, the Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated based on all available data at 855 km East Southeast of Davao City (5.4 °N, 133.3 °E). It is embedded along the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) affecting the eastern section of Visayas and Mindanao.

你知道吗？GFS此前维持了这么多报了，MH也好几报了，现在却搞成这种***不愧疚吗

GFS不太支持发展了

ABPW10 PGTW 300600 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS CORRECTED/300600ZAPR2020-010600ZMAY2020//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 5.2N 131.8E, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM SOUTHWEST OF PALAU, HAS
DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED REMARKS TO DISSIPATE INVEST
94W IN PARA 1.B.(1).//
NNNN

我们恭喜又有了一个极为成功的奶死案例

这货如果撞菲，进南海可能会有一定程度的发展。

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