台风吧 关注:325,000贴子:7,209,142

回复:【讨论台风】西北太平洋台风201902蝴蝶(Wutip)

只看楼主收藏回复

WP, 02, 2019022300, , BEST, 0, 107N, 1437E, 105, 953, TY, 34, NEQ, 170, 135, 120, 140, 1006, 240, 12, 0, 15, W, 0, , 0, 0, WUTIP, D,
WP, 02, 2019022300, , BEST, 0, 107N, 1437E, 105, 953, TY, 50, NEQ, 95, 75, 60, 75, 1006, 240, 12, 0, 15, W, 0, , 0, 0, WUTIP, D,
WP, 02, 2019022300, , BEST, 0, 107N, 1437E, 105, 953, TY, 64, NEQ, 50, 40, 30, 40, 1006, 240, 12, 0, 15, W, 0, , 0, 0, WUTIP, D,


IP属地:广东来自Android客户端962楼2019-02-23 09:34
回复
    台 风 预 报
    预报:董林 签发:高拴柱 2019 年 02 月 23 日 10 时
    “蝴蝶”将继续加强
    一、“蝴蝶”位于关岛南偏西洋面
    今年第2号台风“蝴蝶”(强台风级)的中心今天(2月23日)上午8点钟位于美国关岛南偏西方大约325公里的西北太平洋洋面上,就是北纬10.7度、东经143.7度,中心附近最大风力有15级(48米/秒),中心最低气压为945百帕,七级风圈半径260-350公里,十级风圈半径120公里,十二级风圈半径60公里。
    二、“蝴蝶”未来五天对我国海区无影响
    预计,“蝴蝶”将以每小时15公里左右的速度向西北方向移动,强度继续加强,最强可达超强台风级(16级,52-55m/s)。未来五天“蝴蝶”对我国海区无影响。


    IP属地:广东来自Android客户端963楼2019-02-23 09:36
    收起回复
      2025-12-27 16:43:28
      广告
      不感兴趣
      开通SVIP免广告
      风切减弱


      星座王
      点亮12星座印记,去领取
      活动截止:2100-01-01
      去徽章馆》
      IP属地:上海来自Android客户端964楼2019-02-23 09:40
      收起回复
        02W: WUTIP (105kt 953mb)


        IP属地:浙江来自iPhone客户端966楼2019-02-23 09:45
        收起回复
          随着23 00z这一报105,Wutip的ACE已经超过Higos,刷新了卫星年代西太二月ACE的记录。
          Wutip当前ACE:8.965
          现在蝴蝶仍有充足的力量将记录继续刷新,它还能走多远呢,我们期待。


          IP属地:广东967楼2019-02-23 09:47
          收起回复
            破茧成蝶


            IP属地:福建968楼2019-02-23 09:47
            收起回复
              WTPQ30 RJTD 230000
              RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
              REASONING NO.18 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
              1.GENERAL COMMENTS
              TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 10.6N, 143.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
              POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR.
              THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
              INFLUENCE OF WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS
              HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
              HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
              INTENSITY ANALYSES.
              2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
              THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN
              PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A
              CDO PATTERN. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF
              ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
              DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
              SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
              3.TRACK FORECAST
              THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
              MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
              NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
              UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WESTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE
              JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO
              OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72
              BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
              MODEL OUTPUTS.
              4.INTENSITY FORECAST
              THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE
              INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW
              AND DRY AIR. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
              =


              IP属地:广东来自Android客户端969楼2019-02-23 09:49
              回复
                底层还在搞事


                IP属地:浙江来自手机贴吧970楼2019-02-23 09:50
                回复
                  2025-12-27 16:37:28
                  广告
                  不感兴趣
                  开通SVIP免广告
                  KMA



                  IP属地:广东来自Android客户端971楼2019-02-23 09:50
                  回复
                    电脑壁纸换成蝴蝶的云图


                    972楼2019-02-23 09:53
                    回复
                      霸气


                      973楼2019-02-23 09:58
                      回复
                        轮廓明显


                        IP属地:广东来自Android客户端974楼2019-02-23 09:58
                        回复