今年夏季的台风对于我们强度党来说确实无聊 目前台风虽然很多 可是基本都是水货 唯一一个说得过去的奥鹿发展却让人很失望 接下来就看纳沙的表现了； 想到15年这个时候关注三旋共舞苏迪罗天鹅艾莎尼的发展能关注一个通宵。

人气有跌落，看来人都去睡了，明天起来就有惊喜咯

党首

每年这个时候都很激动

4.5年了只看评论，少发表

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 26 JUL 2017 Time : 141000 UTC
Lat : 17:12:55 N Lon : 127:55:26 E
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
2.9 / 996.0mb/ 43.0kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
2.9 3.0 3.0
Center Temp : -76.7C Cloud Region Temp : -60.2C
Scene Type : IRREGULAR CDO*
Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION
Ocean Basin : WEST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : CKZ Method
Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF
C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
- Average 34 knot radii : N/A
- Environmental MSLP : 1008mb
Satellite Name : HIM-8
Satellite Viewing Angle : 25.1 degrees
****************************************************

不能报太大期望，期望越大，失望越大

加强了😏

ZCZC
TCPQ40 BABJ 261500
CCAA 26150 99398 11165
NESAT 09170 11275 12333 230// 90008
NNNN

6小时后气压比初始场上升2hPa

ZCZC
WTPQ20 BABJ 261500
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TS NESAT 1709 (1709) INITIAL TIME 261500 UTC
00HR 17.0N 127.6E 990HPA 23M/S
30KTS WINDS 150KM NORTHEAST
250KM SOUTHEAST
250KM SOUTHWEST
150KM NORTHWEST
MOVE N 10KM/H
P+12HR 18.0N 127.5E 982HPA 28M/S
P+24HR 19.2N 127.1E 980HPA 30M/S
P+36HR 20.3N 126.4E 975HPA 33M/S
P+48HR 21.3N 125.5E 970HPA 35M/S
P+60HR 22.1N 124.6E 965HPA 38M/S
P+72HR 22.8N 123.5E 960HPA 40M/S
P+96HR 23.4N 122.0E 955HPA 42M/S
P+120HR 24.1N 120.7E 975HPA 33M/S=
NNNN

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 26 JUL 2017 Time : 143000 UTC
Lat : 17:14:56 N Lon : 127:54:50 E
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
2.9 / 996.0mb/ 43.0kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
2.9 3.1 3.1
Center Temp : -76.2C Cloud Region Temp : -62.8C
Scene Type : IRREGULAR CDO*
Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION
Ocean Basin : WEST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : CKZ Method
Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF
C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
- Average 34 knot radii : N/A
- Environmental MSLP : 1008mb
Satellite Name : HIM-8
Satellite Viewing Angle : 25.2 degrees
****************************************************