2. Showers and thunderstorms are slowly becoming better organizedin association with a broad area of low pressure located severalhundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico. Environmental conditionsare expected to be favorable for additional development, and thissystem is likely to become a tropical depression this weekend whileit moves generally westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mphaway from the coast of Mexico.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.Forecaster Pasch